Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China

Rongfang Lyu, Jianming Zhang, Mengqun Xu, Jijun Li

Abstract

Spatial heterogeneity of urban expansion and macro-scale influence of socioeconomic development are the two main problems in urban-expansion modelling. In this study, we used the SLEUTH-3r model to simulate urban expansion at a fine scale (30 m) for a large urban agglomeration (22000 km2) in north-western China. Multiple spatial constraint factors were integrated into the model through Ordinary Least Regression and Binary Logistic Regression to simulate the spatial heterogeneity in urban expansion. A critical parameter—the diffusion multiplier (DM)—was used to simulate the macro-scale influence of socioeconomic development in the urban model. These two methods have greatly enhanced the ability of the SLEUTH-3r model to simulate urban expansion with high heterogeneity, and adapt to urban growth driven by socioeconomic development and government policy.

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Paper Citation


in Harvard Style

Lyu R., Zhang J., Xu M. and Li J. (2018). Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China.In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Geographical Information Systems Theory, Applications and Management - Volume 1: GISTAM, ISBN 978-989-758-294-3, pages 159-166. DOI: 10.5220/0006627201590166


in Bibtex Style

@conference{gistam18,
author={Rongfang Lyu and Jianming Zhang and Mengqun Xu and Jijun Li},
title={Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Geographical Information Systems Theory, Applications and Management - Volume 1: GISTAM,},
year={2018},
pages={159-166},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0006627201590166},
isbn={978-989-758-294-3},
}


in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Geographical Information Systems Theory, Applications and Management - Volume 1: GISTAM,
TI - Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China
SN - 978-989-758-294-3
AU - Lyu R.
AU - Zhang J.
AU - Xu M.
AU - Li J.
PY - 2018
SP - 159
EP - 166
DO - 10.5220/0006627201590166