Decision Support Systems to Obtain Decision Criteria by Fuzzy AHP
for Location of Renewable Energy Facilities
Juan M. Sánchez-Lozano
1
, Jose Angel Jiménez-Pérez
2
,
M. Socorro García-Cascales
2
and M. Teresa Lamata
3
1
Depto de Expresión Gráfica, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Cartagena, Spain
2
Depto de Electrónica, Tecnología de Computadoras y Proyectos, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Cartagena, Spain
3
Depto de Ciencias de la Computación e Inteligencia Artificial, CITIC, Universidad de Granada, 18071 Granada, Spain
Keywords: Decision Support Systems (DSS), Optimal Location, Renewable Energy Facilities, Fuzzy AHP.
Abstract: Location of Renewable Energy Facilities will depend on various factors such as environmental, orography
location and climatology criteria, which in turn are broken down into sub-criteria that will depend on the
technology to locate. The objective of the present paper is to obtain the weights of the decision criteria
which influence in the problem of location of renewable energy facilities, especially in wind farms and solar
plants (photovoltaic and thermoelectric). To that end a Decision Support System (DSS) has been designed
to help the decision-maker to obtain the weights of the criteria involved in this decision. Fuzzy AHP
methodology is used with that DSS for the extraction of expert knowledge and to model the vague and
imprecise data by triangular fuzzy numbers.
1 INTRODUCTION
Renewable energy is the energy obtained from
virtually inexhaustible natural sources, either due to
the vast amount of energy they contain, or because
they are able to regenerate by natural media. One of
the great problems of humanity’s dependence on
fossil fuels is their depletion and the environmental
impact they cause (Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change IPCC, 1992; United Nations, 1997).
When implementing renewable energy facilities,
the promoter must find and select the best location in
order to obtain a better use of energy and reduce the
risks that, in facilities of this size, can cause serious
economic and environmental damage (Kahraman et
al., 2009). It is, however, not unusual that in
choosing the right site among various sites, there is a
degree of uncertainty. If the knowledge and
experience of the decision group are combined with
methodologies and tools to assist in decision making
(Ramirez- Rosado et al., 2008), this uncertainty
could be avoided.
Decision Support Systems DSS (Turban et al.,
2006) appeared in the 1970s as solutions which
could be used to help with complex decision-making
and problem solving in a structured manner. The
DSS are particularly suitable for solving the same
complex problem several times. Location problems
in industrial plants and specifically in the problems
of locating renewable energy facilities there is a set
of decision criteria which affect the decision on the
location of these facilities and that will depend on
the type of technology (solar, wind ...) to be installed
on the facilities. Therefore it is of great interest to
have a DSS to help obtain the weights of criteria to
decide the optimal locations for renewable energy
installations.
Thus, this article focuses on the design of a DSS
that facilitates the decision maker to obtain the
weights of the criteria in a location problem of
renewable energy facilities.
The paper will be structured as follows: Section
2 will focus on the hierarchical structure of decision
criteria for the case of wind facilities and solar
photovoltaic and thermoelectric plants. Section 3
will focus on the design of the DSS algorithms to
work with and the data entry into the system.
Section 4 presents the results of the DSS output for
different renewable technologies and finally in
section 5 we present the main conclusions of the
paper.
300
Sanchez-Lozano J., Jimenez-Pérez J., Garcia-Cascales M. and Lamata M..
Decision Support Systems to Obtain Decision Criteria by Fuzzy AHP for Location of Renewable Energy Facilities.
DOI: 10.5220/0004655603000308
In Proceedings of the 5th International Joint Conference on Computational Intelligence (SCA-2013), pages 300-308
ISBN: 978-989-8565-77-8
Copyright
c
2013 SCITEPRESS (Science and Technology Publications, Lda.)
2 DECISION CRITERIA FOR
THE OPTIMAL LOCATION OF
RENEWABLE ENERGY
FACILITIES
It is necessary to know which criteria influence (and
to what extent), the decision-making problem
proposed. Although previous studies have been
conducted indicating the features that these criteria
should meet (Janke, 2010; Al-Yahyai et al., 2012),
the fact of using one or another will depend mainly
on the study area. However, it is possible to establish
common generic criteria that subsequently may be
decomposed into specific criteria of sub-criteria,
which will depend on the characteristics and nature
of the area to be analyzed.
Therefore, following the guidelines established
in (Aran Carrión et al., 2008), four groups of main
criteria will be established:
Environment criterion
Location criteria
Orography criteria
Climatology criteria
Through environment criterion it is not intended
to assess the impact that these facilities cause of
renewable energy plants in certain sites, the
description of this criterion is based on the
suitability of installing renewable energy plants
depending on the capacity that it presents a land to
host them. Location criteria will be compose on the
one hand by those criteria that allow to evaluate the
distances that it would have the future renewable
plants regarding infrastructures or areas in which
they cannot be implemented (cities, airports, masts,
etc) and, on the other hand by those criteria that will
not only allow to reduce the installation costs but
also will favour its performance (distance to main
roads, power lines, etc). Orography criteria are based
on both the extension and the orographic features
that it presents a land to implement this type of
facilities in order to minimize the installation costs
and increase efficiency, for example, to implement
solar facilities will not only be appropriate that the
land has sufficient area but it must also have low
slopes and a correct orientation. Finally climatology
criteria will allow evaluating the production capacity
of the renewable energy plants. It should be chosen
sites where these criteria present appropriate values
because these criteria are essential not only for the
correct operation of the plant but also to optimize the
production.
These criteria are common to the main renewable
energy facilities, and especially to those which this
paper is focused on: wind farms, solar photovoltaic
plants and thermoelectric plants.
The difference between the different
technologies exists in the definition of the sub-
criteria to be considered in the location, based on the
type of technology used. So for wind farms the
hierarchy of criteria is that shown in Figure 1 when
(Sanchez-Lozano et al., 2013b):
C
1
: Agrological capacity (Classes): Suitability
of land for agricultural development, if the land
presents excellent agrological capacity it will
not be suitable to implement the renewable
facility and vice versa.
C
2
: Slope (%): Inclination of the land, the
higher the percentage of surface inclination, the
worse fitness it will have to implement a wind
farm.
C
3
: Area (m²): Surface contained within a
perimeter of land that can accommodate a
renewable energy facility.
C
4
: Distance to main airports (m): Space of
interval between the nearest airport and the
different possible sites.
C
5
: Distance to main roads (m): Space of
interval between the nearest main road and the
different possible sites.
C
6
: Distance to power lines (m): Space of
interval between the nearest power line and the
different possible sites.
C
7
: Distance to cities (m): Space of interval
between the population centres (cities and
towns) and the different possible sites.
C
8
: Distance to electricity transformer
substations (m): Space of interval between the
nearest electricity transformer substation and
the different possible sites.
C
9
: Distance to mast (m): Space of interval
between the nearest mast and the different
possible sites.
C
10
: Wind speed (m/s): It corresponds to the
wind speed at an elevation of 80 meters in the
different possible sites.
In the case of solar photovoltaic and
thermoelectric plants the criteria tree is as in Figure
2 where we have some similar criteria (C
1
, C
2
, C
3
,
C
5
, C
6
, C
7
, and C
8
) but others which are different
due to the technology used (Sanchez-Lozano et al.
2013a):
C
4
: Field Orientation (Cardinal points): Position
or direction of the ground to a cardinal point.
C
9
: Potential solar radiation (kJ·m²/day): It
corresponds to the amount of solar energy a
ground surface receives over a period of time
(day).
DecisionSupportSystemstoObtainDecisionCriteriabyFuzzyAHPforLocationofRenewableEnergyFacilities
301
C
10
: Average temperature (ºC): Average
temperatures measured on ground in the course
of one year.
Figure 1: Criteria tree for optimizing the location of wind
farms.
Figure 2: Criteria tree for optimizing the location of
photovoltaic and thermoelectric plants.
3 DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM
FOR LOCATION OF
RENEWABLE ENERGY
FACILITIES
We have developed a Decision Support System DSS
for the location of renewable energy facilities with
the structure shown in Figure 3 and called Optimal
Location v1.0.
Optimal Location v1.0 is formed by three sub-
systems (Turban et al., 2006):
Data handling sub-system: Contains
information about the problem. In this case,
Figure 3: Structure of DSS.
the Data Base is obtained by means of a
Geographical Information Systems (GIS)
Models’ handling sub-system: Mathematical
models that are used to solve the problem.
Optimal Location v1.0 uses AHP and the
TOPSIS method with or without fuzzy logic.
By means of AHP we obtain the weights of the
criteria.
AHP estimates the impact of each one of the
alternatives on the overall objective of the hierarchy.
In this method the quantified judgements provided
by experts in the field on pairs of criteria (Ci, Cj) are
represented in an nxn matrix expressed by the
following expression (1).
C
1
C
2
C
n
C
C
1
C
2
C
n
c
11
c
12
c
1n
c
21
c
22
c
2n

c
n1
c
n2
c
nn
(1)
The c
12
value is supposed to be an approximation of
the relative importance of C
1
to C
2
, i.e., c
12
(w
1
/w
2
). The statements below can be concluded:
c
ij
(w
i
/w
j
) i, j = 1, 2, …, n
c
ii
= 1, i=1, 2, …, n
If c
ij
=α, α0, then c
ji
=1/α , i=1,2,…, n
If C
i
is more important than C
j
then c
ij
=
(w
i
/w
j
)
> 1
Matrix C should be a positive and reciprocal matrix
with 1´s in the main diagonal so; the expert needs
only to provide value judgments in the upper
triangle of the matrix.
TOPSIS method is applied to obtain the ranking
of the alternatives. Nevertheless, this paper has been
carried out with the aim of obtaining the weight of
the criteria.
User interface sub-system: It is the
environment in which the user controls the
DSS. By means of this interface, on the one
hand we are able to introduce the input data in
IJCCI2013-InternationalJointConferenceonComputationalIntelligence
302
order to apply the AHP method (see Figures 4,
5) and on the other, we are able to show the
results (output of the DSS), these results are
shown in figs 8-13.
Figure 4: Insertion the criteria and categories in Optimal
Location v1.0.
Figure 5: Insertion the order of importance for each
criterion in Optimal Location v1.0.
3.1 Data Input to the DSS
The DSS starts with a file format ESRI Shape file
(.Shp.) (Zeiler, 2010) to perform its functions. This
file must have been previously published and
analysed on professional GIS software. In this
particular case, the gvSIG tool has been used
because it is free software.
For optimisation calculations it is necessary to
establish the relative importance of each decision
criterion. To do that, the DSS uses the AHP method
(Saaty, 1980, 1989).
This seeks to establish the pairwise comparisons
required by this method by conducting surveys to
different experts in the field. It is a pseudo-Delphi
technique, in which different independent experts
without mutual interaction value judgments made
for pairwise comparison. In this way, we aim to
obtain a vector of weights of the criteria from each
expert and then to produce a single weight vector by
performing an arithmetic mean between them, see
Figure 6.
Figure 6: Group Decision Making with Optimal Location
v1.0.
The information provided by the experts is
qualitative in character or is very vague since is has
been obtained through linguistic terms; because of
this the data obtained should be set modelled so that
further handling is feasible and easy.
Among the various options for representing
information and because, on the one hand the data is
grouped perfectly, and on the other, handling is
simple and effective, fuzzy numbers will be chosen
to represent information (Delgado et al., 1992;
Herrera et al., 2009).
In the case studied, the data provided shall be
represented by triangular fuzzy numbers (Zadeh
1965, Klir and Yuan, 1995; Dubois and Prade,
1980).
3.2 Treatment of the Data
For that purpose, a questionnaire similar to that
made by (Garcia-Cascales et al., 2012) was
developed, which was given to experts with the aim
of reducing uncertainty and imprecision of the
proposed problem. The Linguistic labels used in the
Fuzzy AHP model are shown in Table 1.
In AHP problems, where the values are fuzzy,
we will use the geometric normalized average,
expressed by the following expression (2):


1
1
1
,,
,,
n
ij ij ij
j
i
n
m
ij ij ij
i
j
abc
w
abc
(2)
where

,,
ij ij ij
abc
is a fuzzy number
The group of experts involved in the decision
process answer a survey based in the Fuzzy AHP
model. In this case the way to obtain the weighted
criteria is type bottom to top (see Figure 7), this
DecisionSupportSystemstoObtainDecisionCriteriabyFuzzyAHPforLocationofRenewableEnergyFacilities
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Table 1: Linguistic labels used in fuzzy AHP.
Verbal judgments of preferences between criterion i and criterion j Triangular fuzzy scale and reciprocals
Ci and Cj are equally important (II) (1, 1, 1) /(1,1,1)
Ci is slightly more/less important than Cj (S+I/S-I) (2, 3, 4)/(1/4,1/3,1/2)
Ci is strongly more/less important than Cj (+I/-I) (4, 5, 6)/ (1/6,1/5,1/4)
Ci is very strongly more/less important than Cj (VS+I/VS-I) (6, 7, 8)/ (1/8,1/7,1/6)
Ci is extremely more/less important than Cj (Ex+I/Ex-I) (8, 9, 9)/ (1/9,1/9,1/8)
is to calculate all the weights of the sub-criteria at
the second level by comparing all the sub- criteria
with each other. Subsequently, the sub-criteria are
aggregates to their main criterion.
The survey is divided into two parts:
1.
The decision problem is explained indicating
what the goal to achieve is (optimal location of
sites for renewable energy facilities), the
methodology used and the criteria that
influence the decision making process. Thus,
the basic elements of the decision problem are
described through a hierarchical structure, as
shown in the criteria trees (Figures 1 and 2).
2.
It is based on the hierarchical structure
described and its purpose is to gather data to
obtain the weight or coefficient of importance
of criteria. The survey consists of a block of
three questions:
Q
1
: Do you believe that all the sub-criteria have
the same weight?
If the answer is yes, it will not be necessary to
apply any MCDM to obtain the weights of the
criteria, as these will have the same value.
Otherwise, i.e., if experts consider that not all
the criteria have equal importance, the second
question in the survey will be posed:
Q
2
: List the criteria in descending importance.
Q
3
: Compare the approach to be considered
first with respect to that considered secondly
and successively, using the linguistic labels in
Table 1.
Figure 7: AHP method Bottom to Top.
In the particular case of wind farms, the answers for
each of the sub-criteria indicated in fig. 2 were the
followings.
Answer Q1: NO
Answer Q2: The orders of importance for each of
the experts are shown in table 2.
Table 2: Order of importance of the sub-criteria for each
of the experts for the case of location of wind farms.
Criteria Expert 1 Expert 2 Expert 3
C
1
10º 10º
C
2
3º 5º
C
3
8º 6º
C
4
10º 7º 9º
C
5
5º 3º
C
6
2º 7º
C
7
6º 2º
C
8
4º 4º
C
9
9º 8º
C
10
1º 1º
Answer Q3: The pair comparisons among sub-
criteria by the experts are shown in Table 3.
Table 3: Pair comparison among sub-criteria for the case
of location of wind farms by linguistic labels.
Expert 1 Expert 2 Expert 3
S+
I
VS+
I
S+
I
VS+
I
Ex+
Ex+
S+
I
VS+
I
+
I
S+
I
VS+
I
+
I
Ex+
Ex+
Ex+
7
º +
I
Ex+
VS+
I
S+
I
VS+
I
+
I
+
I
VS+
I
VS+
I
10º Ex+
Ex+
Ex+
So, the weights of the criteria will be determined
by pair-wise comparison among criteria. As a result
of the data collection used, a total of (n-1)
comparisons will be required against the complete
AHP method n(n-1)/2 comparisons.
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3.3 Weights of the Criteria in Wind,
Photovoltaic and Thermoelectric
Plants
The results of the DSS output are discussed for the
three types of technologies and with the hierarchical
structure criteria according to figures 1 and 2, both
for the sub-criteria as well as for the principal
criteria.
3.3.1 Data Results for the Sub-criteria
DSS provides the results for the sub-criteria as seen
in Figure 8, in the case of the decision sub-criteria
for the location of wind farms, Figure 9 for the case
of the decision sub-criteria for the location of solar
photovoltaic plants, and Figure 10 in the case of
decision sub-criteria for locating thermoelectric
plants.
In the case of wind farms the sub-criteria (Figure
8) which clearly stands out above the other sub-
criteria is the wind speed (C
10
) with almost 40% of
total weights. This result is logical since to
implement a wind farm, the wind speed plays a
crucial role, and if this is not enough in a given area,
that area is removed by any promoter of these
facilities. The remainder of these sub-criteria are
further apart and grouped around a weight between 5
and 10% of the total.
Figure 8: Weights of the sub-criteria criteria for wind farms.
This does not happen in the case of solar
technologies where there is not a single criterion
whose weight or importance coefficient is so high
that it allows to discard the rest. Analysing Figure 9
sub-criteria for photovoltaic plants it is shown that
the three best sub-criteria for the location problem
for solar plants are the distance to power lines (C
6
);
distance to electricity transformer substations (C
8
);
and distance to cities (C
7
), with the latter being the
highest rated. By contrast, the criteria that less
influence the decision, that is to say, those with the
lowest values, correspond to the sub-criterion of
agrological capacity (C
1
) and to the sub-criterion of
distance to main roads (C
5
).
The results are consistent since in the
implementation of a photovoltaic solar plant, the fact
of having a pour point to the nearest grid greatly
reduces the initial investment costs thus reducing the
payback period of the facility. However, it should
also be highlighted that the most important criterion
presented corresponds to the distance to centers of
population, the justification for this high weight can
be found in both the potential environmental impact
that this type of facility can generate and in growth
and expansion of cities because, given the useful life
of photovoltaic solar plants, implementing these
facilities in close proximity to centers of population
can condition their expansion.
Figure 9: Weights of the sub-criteria for photovoltaic plants.
DecisionSupportSystemstoObtainDecisionCriteriabyFuzzyAHPforLocationofRenewableEnergyFacilities
305
Analysing Figure 10, the sub-criteria
forthermoelectric plants it is shown that the three
best sub-criteria for the location problem for solar
thermoelectric plants are potential solar radiation
(C
9
); distance to electricity transformer substations
(C
8
); and area (C
3
), with the latter being the highest
rated. By contrast the sub-criteria that have less
influence in the decision in this case are distance to
cities (C
7
) and distance to roads (C
5
).
The results are consistent as solar thermoelectric
plants are facilities that not only require a territory
covering a large area, but also, the installed capacity
of them is usually very high (with the aim of
reducing the period of payback) therefore there is a
need to have nearby transformer substations that
allow to directly pour the electricity generated
because, if not, the promoter himself should meet
the additional cost of building a transformer
substation to discharge the energy generated in the
thermoelectric plant.
Figure 10: Weights of the sub-criteria for thermoelectric
plants.
3.3.2 Data Results for the Main Criteria
The output results for the three technologies
considered and the inclusion of data from at least
three experts for each technology provides the
following DSS data: weights of the main criteria for
the location of wind farms (Figure 11); weights of
the main criteria for the location of photovoltaic
plants (Figure 12); and finally the weights of the
main criteria for the location of thermoelectric plants
(Figure 13). The results for the main criteria are
obtained from the aggregation bottom to top (Figure
7) of different sub-criteria grouped into each main
criterion, as can be seen in figures 1 and 2.
It seems clear that in general for all the primary
technologies the criterion which has more weight in
the decision is that of the location rather than
environmental criteria which have less weight in the
decision in all the technologies, wind, photovoltaic
and thermoelectric, see Figures 11, 12 and 13.
Figure 11: Weights of the main criteria for the location of
wind farms.
However, the second criterion by weight is not
the same for all the technologies: in the case of the
location of wind farms the climatology criteria,
Figure 11. This is to a certain extent a logical result
since it is the only criterion in which humankind
cannot intervene to improve it, that is to say that
although a site may offer excellent conditions to
implant a wind farm, if there is hardly any wind or
the wind is very slight, then it cannot be an optimal
site for such an installation. While in the case of
solar, both photovoltaic, Figure 12, and
thermoelectric, Figure 13, it is the orography
criteria. The fact that this criterion is in second
position is principally due to the fact that the
proximity to or distance from population nuclei or
infrastructures which influence the decision are of
great importance when including if a zone is optimal
to implant this type of facilities.
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Figure 12: Weights of the main criteria for the location of
photovoltaic plants.
Figure 13: Weights of the main criteria for the location of
thermoelectric plants.
5 CONCLUSIONS
The study has shown that we must take into account
a number of criteria to select which is the best
location for renewable energy facilities (wind farms,
solar photovoltaic plants and solar thermoelectric
plants). Moreover, such criteria do not equally
influence in decision making so it is very important
to know beforehand the weights of these criteria for
each technology when implementing such facilities.
So it is interesting to show that there are
important differences among Eolic and Solar
technologies, and between the two solar
technologies there is a greater similarity.
It is of great interest for the promoters of
renewable energy facilities to have a tool such as
this, a DSS to model the importance of the decision
criteria when locating renewable energy installations
that aggregates all the information by different
experts to be involved in decision making.
This DSS is simple and intuitive to manage for
any expert in the field of renewable energy without
any knowledge of soft computing, when experts
only have to answer three simple questions to obtain
the weights of the criteria of sub-criteria involved in
the decision making of the optimal location for
renewable energy facilities.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This work is partially supported by FEDER
funds, the DGICYT and Junta de Andalucía
under projects TIN2011-27696-C02-01 and
P11-TIC-8001, respectively.
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