Authors:
Mohamed Saad Eldin
1
;
Sherif A. Mazen
1
;
Ehab E. Hassanen
1
and
Hegazy Zaher
2
Affiliations:
1
Faculty of Computers and Information and Cairo University, United Arab Emirates
;
2
French University, Egypt
Keyword(s):
Early Warning, Crises, Forecasting, Model, Indicators.
Related
Ontology
Subjects/Areas/Topics:
Enterprise Information Systems
;
Information Systems Analysis and Specification
;
Tools, Techniques and Methodologies for System Development
Abstract:
This paper addresses the need for effective early warning information systems (EEWIS) that are capable of predicting future crises and that can help prevent them or reduce their negative effects. The main problem facing any EWIS is the lack of effectiveness. The most effective early warning information systems are characterized by accuracy, flexibility and the ability to detect risks. Effective early warning information systems can empower communities to prepare for and confront risks and disasters. An effective EWIS should be based on a reliable and consistent model, yet the models currently available are mostly deterministic, simplified or inconsistent in application and assumption; thus making them unreliable and impractical. The goals of this paper are to provide guidelines for professionals involved in implementing effective early warning information systems, and to present a novel model for EEWIS that can be adapted to the dynamic needs of the field of crisis management and pre
paredness.
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