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Authors: Mykola Gusti 1 and Georg Kindermann 2

Affiliations: 1 ESM, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, IID and Lviv National Polytechnic University, Austria ; 2 ESM and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria

Keyword(s): Global forest model, Landuse change modelling, Forest management modelling, Policy assessment, REDD.

Related Ontology Subjects/Areas/Topics: Application Domains ; Complex Systems Modeling and Simulation ; Ecological Modeling ; Simulation and Modeling ; Social Systems Simulation

Abstract: A geographically explicit approach to modelling landuse change and forestry on a global scale and a respective model are presented. The model simulates decisions of virtual land owners on landuse change (afforest or deforest) and forest management. The decisions are made in cells of a regular geographic grid (e.g. 0.5x0.5 deg). Landuse change decisions are based on comparison of net present values of forestry and agriculture. Forest management decisions are taken considering wood demand, forest productivity and net present value of forestry comparing to a baseline. Pricing of carbon stored in forest biomass, litter and soil alters forest net present value thus influencing landuse change and forest management decisions. Proposed approach allows estimation of marginal abatement costs for Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) comparable across countries or regions.

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Paper citation in several formats:
Gusti, M. and Kindermann, G. (2011). AN APPROACH TO MODELING LANDUSE CHANGE AND FOREST MANAGEMENT ON A GLOBAL SCALE. In Proceedings of 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH; ISBN 978-989-8425-78-2; ISSN 2184-2841, SciTePress, pages 180-185. DOI: 10.5220/0003607501800185

@conference{simultech11,
author={Mykola Gusti. and Georg Kindermann.},
title={AN APPROACH TO MODELING LANDUSE CHANGE AND FOREST MANAGEMENT ON A GLOBAL SCALE},
booktitle={Proceedings of 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH},
year={2011},
pages={180-185},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0003607501800185},
isbn={978-989-8425-78-2},
issn={2184-2841},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH
TI - AN APPROACH TO MODELING LANDUSE CHANGE AND FOREST MANAGEMENT ON A GLOBAL SCALE
SN - 978-989-8425-78-2
IS - 2184-2841
AU - Gusti, M.
AU - Kindermann, G.
PY - 2011
SP - 180
EP - 185
DO - 10.5220/0003607501800185
PB - SciTePress

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