Authors:
Jan Sören Schwarz
1
;
Tobias Witt
2
;
Astrid Nieße
3
;
Jutta Geldermann
2
;
Sebastian Lehnhoff
1
and
Michael Sonnenschein
3
Affiliations:
1
University of Oldenburg, Germany
;
2
University of Goettingen, Germany
;
3
OFFIS - Institute for Information Technology, Germany
Keyword(s):
Co-simulation, Energy Scenarios, Information Model, Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), Ontology, Scenario Planning, Story-and-Simulation (SAS), Sustainability Evaluation.
Related
Ontology
Subjects/Areas/Topics:
Energy and Economy
;
Energy-Aware Systems and Technologies
;
Greener Systems Planning and Design
;
Renewable Energy Resources
Abstract:
To reshape energy systems towards renewable energy resources, decision makers need to decide today on how
to make the transition. Energy scenarios are widely used to guide decision making in this context. While
considerable effort has been put into developing energy scenarios, researchers have pointed out three requirements
for energy scenarios that are not fulfilled satisfactorily yet: The development and evaluation of energy
scenarios should (1) incorporate the concept of sustainability, (2) provide decision support in a transparent way
and (3) be replicable for other researchers. To meet these requirements, we combine different methodological
approaches: story-and-simulation (SAS) scenarios, multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM), information
modeling and co-simulation. We show in this paper how the combination of these methods can lead to an
integrated approach for sustainability evaluation of energy scenarios with automated information exchange.
Our approach consists of
a sustainability evaluation process (SEP) and an information model for modeling dependencies.
The objectives are to guide decisions towards sustainable development of the energy sector and to
make the scenario and decision support processes more transparent for both decision makers and researchers.
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