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Authors: Carlos Gay-Garcia and Bernardo Bastien

Affiliation: National University of Mexico, Mexico

Keyword(s): Climate Change, Global Temperature, Carbon Emissions, Fuzzy Control.

Abstract: In this research, we generated a fuzzy control of carbon emissions that acts increasing or decreasing the representative concentration pathway emissions proposed by the IPCC, in order to obtain a CO2 path that would stabilize the global average surface temperature to a desired level. We used a simple linear climate model that is driven primary by the Carbon emissions. We made simulations under the four RCPs activating the control at different times, which give us a broad knowledge on when is possible to stabilize the temperature, based in the current emissions path. We conclude that taking action earlier (via fuzzy control) will lead not only to reach stabilization, but also, in some cases, to have economic growth allowing to increase emissions at some points in time. Activating the control very late will initiate an oscillation on temperature which will include not only a reduction of emissions but also a necessary anthropogenic net carbon sequestration. This instrument is a common ground where specialists in diverse areas of climate change could contribute in order to set the parameters that we should explore and simulate so that the we can make the best decisions. (More)

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Paper citation in several formats:
Gay-Garcia, C. and Bastien, B. (2015). Stabilizing Global Temperature Through a Fuzzy Control on CO2 Emissions. In Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2015) - MSCCES; ISBN 978-989-758-120-5; ISSN 2184-2841, SciTePress, pages 526-531

@conference{mscces15,
author={Carlos Gay{-}Garcia. and Bernardo Bastien.},
title={Stabilizing Global Temperature Through a Fuzzy Control on CO2 Emissions},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2015) - MSCCES},
year={2015},
pages={526-531},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={},
isbn={978-989-758-120-5},
issn={2184-2841},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2015) - MSCCES
TI - Stabilizing Global Temperature Through a Fuzzy Control on CO2 Emissions
SN - 978-989-758-120-5
IS - 2184-2841
AU - Gay-Garcia, C.
AU - Bastien, B.
PY - 2015
SP - 526
EP - 531
DO -
PB - SciTePress

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