loading
Papers Papers/2022 Papers Papers/2022

Research.Publish.Connect.

Paper

Paper Unlock

Authors: Qing Pei 1 ; David D. Zhang 1 and Jingjing Xu 2

Affiliations: 1 The University of Hong Kong, China ; 2 PricewaterhouseCoopers, China

Keyword(s): ARX Modelling, Climate Change, Grain Market, Pre-Industrial Era, Western Europe.

Abstract: In academia, there are few studies adopted ARX modelling on historical datasets. Recently, the studies on notable effects of climatic changes upon past agrarian economy are paid by more attention. Here, this study first time seriously explores the relationship between climatic change and the grain market at a macro-scale in pre-industrial Western Europe by ARX modelling. The results show that a cold phase would raise grain price through lowering the supply in the grain market. Furthermore, according to the simulations on shortand long-term climate change, the long lasting climate change could be more disastrous to society than short-term change. Last, the application in the study proves ARX modelling is also a feasible choice in the field of historical research.

CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

Sign In Guest: Register as new SciTePress user now for free.

Sign In SciTePress user: please login.

PDF ImageMy Papers

You are not signed in, therefore limits apply to your IP address 18.223.205.61

In the current month:
Recent papers: 100 available of 100 total
2+ years older papers: 200 available of 200 total

Paper citation in several formats:
Pei, Q.; Zhang, D. and Xu, J. (2014). Price Responses of Grain Market under Climate Change in Pre-industrial Western Europe by ARX Modelling. In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2014) - MSCCEC; ISBN 978-989-758-038-3; ISSN 2184-2841, SciTePress, pages 811-817. DOI: 10.5220/0005025208110817

@conference{msccec14,
author={Qing Pei. and David D. Zhang. and Jingjing Xu.},
title={Price Responses of Grain Market under Climate Change in Pre-industrial Western Europe by ARX Modelling},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2014) - MSCCEC},
year={2014},
pages={811-817},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0005025208110817},
isbn={978-989-758-038-3},
issn={2184-2841},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2014) - MSCCEC
TI - Price Responses of Grain Market under Climate Change in Pre-industrial Western Europe by ARX Modelling
SN - 978-989-758-038-3
IS - 2184-2841
AU - Pei, Q.
AU - Zhang, D.
AU - Xu, J.
PY - 2014
SP - 811
EP - 817
DO - 10.5220/0005025208110817
PB - SciTePress

- Science and Technology Publications, Lda.
RESOURCES

Proceedings

Papers

Authors

Ontology

CONTACTS

Science and Technology Publications, Lda
Avenida de S. Francisco Xavier, Lote 7 Cv. C,
2900-616 Setúbal, Portugal.

Phone: +351 265 520 185 (National fixed network call)
Fax: +351 265 520 186
Email: info@scitepress.org

EXTERNAL LINKS

PRIMORIS

INSTICC

SCITEVENTS

CROSSREF

PROCEEDINGS SUBMITTED FOR INDEXATION BY:

dblp

Ei Compendex

SCOPUS

Semantic Scholar

Google Scholar

Microsoft Academic