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Authors: Maria Papaioannou 1 ; Costas Neocleous 2 ; Charalambos Papageorgiou 3 and Christos N. Schizas 1

Affiliations: 1 University of Cyprus, Cyprus ; 2 Cyprus University of Technology, Cyprus ; 3 European University of Cyprus, Cyprus

Keyword(s): Fuzzy Cognitive Maps, Intelligent Systems, Private Sector Involvement.

Related Ontology Subjects/Areas/Topics: Artificial Intelligence ; Complex Fuzzy Systems ; Computational Intelligence ; Fuzzy Systems ; Fuzzy Systems Design, Modeling and Control ; Soft Computing ; Soft Computing and Intelligent Agents

Abstract: The model of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) allows a user to investigate how the influencing parameters of a cause-effect system behave under the implementation of desired scenario. Human knowledge and experience is used to define the structure and the parameters of a FCM model. This paper proposes a methodology which smoothly directs the steps that the experts should take in building an FCM system in order to reduce the subjectivity which characterizes such expert systems. Furthermore, an update rule for the parameters during the simulation phase is presented. Finally, the novel FCM construction methodology and the proposed FCM update rule are tested on a real-life system to investigate the repercussions of the combination of the Greek private sector involvement (PSI) with the decrease of people’s confidence towards the Cyprus banking system. The results resemble what actually happened to the Cyprus economy a short period after the implementation of the Greek PSI.

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Paper citation in several formats:
Papaioannou, M.; Neocleous, C.; Papageorgiou, C. and Schizas, C. (2014). A Fuzzy Cognitive Map System to Explore Certain Scenarios on the Cyprus Banking System. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Fuzzy Computation Theory and Applications (IJCCI 2014) - FCTA; ISBN 978-989-758-053-6, SciTePress, pages 103-110. DOI: 10.5220/0005039701030110

@conference{fcta14,
author={Maria Papaioannou. and Costas Neocleous. and Charalambos Papageorgiou. and Christos N. Schizas.},
title={A Fuzzy Cognitive Map System to Explore Certain Scenarios on the Cyprus Banking System},
booktitle={Proceedings of the International Conference on Fuzzy Computation Theory and Applications (IJCCI 2014) - FCTA},
year={2014},
pages={103-110},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0005039701030110},
isbn={978-989-758-053-6},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the International Conference on Fuzzy Computation Theory and Applications (IJCCI 2014) - FCTA
TI - A Fuzzy Cognitive Map System to Explore Certain Scenarios on the Cyprus Banking System
SN - 978-989-758-053-6
AU - Papaioannou, M.
AU - Neocleous, C.
AU - Papageorgiou, C.
AU - Schizas, C.
PY - 2014
SP - 103
EP - 110
DO - 10.5220/0005039701030110
PB - SciTePress

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