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Author: Takanobu Kosugi

Affiliation: Ritsumeikan University, Japan

ISBN: 978-989-8425-78-2

Keyword(s): Climate change, Geoengineering, Global warming, Integrated assessment model, Termination problem.

Related Ontology Subjects/Areas/Topics: Application Domains ; Artificial Intelligence ; Ecological Modeling ; Formal Methods ; Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics ; Intelligent Control Systems and Optimization ; Planning and Scheduling ; Security ; Simulation and Modeling ; Symbolic Systems

Abstract: The combination of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions mitigation and geoengineering options of solar radiation management (SRM) such as placing sunshades in space and stratospheric aerosol injection is discussed quantitatively using an extended version of the DICE-2007, an integrated assessment model for climate policy analysis. Though SRM measures can contribute considerably to the cost-effectiveness of climate change mitigation, they might cause harmful side effects, such as rapid air temperature increases, if the SRM implementation were to be discontinued for any reason. The author suggests a guideline for the use of SRM: namely, that unexpected SRM termination at any time would not exceed the constraints on the rate of global warming recommended by the German Advisory Council on Global Change. The paper describes a method to incorporate this guideline in the DICE-2007 model, and shows the result of the extended model, which recommends an 80% reduction of global industrial CO2 emission s below the 2005 level by the end of the 21st century while implementing a complementary SRM option to mitigate climate change. (More)

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Paper citation in several formats:
Kosugi, T. (2011). CLIMATE-ECONOMY MODELING CONSIDERING SOLAR RADIATION MANAGEMENT AND ITS TERMINATION RISK.In Proceedings of 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH, ISBN 978-989-8425-78-2, pages 315-320. DOI: 10.5220/0003580003150320

@conference{simultech11,
author={Takanobu Kosugi.},
title={CLIMATE-ECONOMY MODELING CONSIDERING SOLAR RADIATION MANAGEMENT AND ITS TERMINATION RISK},
booktitle={Proceedings of 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH,},
year={2011},
pages={315-320},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0003580003150320},
isbn={978-989-8425-78-2},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH,
TI - CLIMATE-ECONOMY MODELING CONSIDERING SOLAR RADIATION MANAGEMENT AND ITS TERMINATION RISK
SN - 978-989-8425-78-2
AU - Kosugi, T.
PY - 2011
SP - 315
EP - 320
DO - 10.5220/0003580003150320

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