Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level

Bożena Mielczarek

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Paper

Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level

Topics: Discrete-Event Simulation; Healthcare

In Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications SIMULTECH - Volume 1, 197-203, 2013 , Reykjavík, Iceland

Author: Bożena Mielczarek

Affiliation: Wrocław University of Technology, Poland

Keyword(s): Discrete-Event Simulation, Hospital, Emergency Departments, Demand.

Related Ontology Subjects/Areas/Topics: Application Domains ; Applications and Uses ; Biomedical Engineering ; Discrete-Event Simulation ; Formal Methods ; Health Information Systems ; Healthcare ; Sensor Networks ; Simulation and Modeling

Abstract: This paper describes a discrete-event simulation model to estimate the volume of services to be provided by emergency departments located in one sub-region of Lower Silesia, the southernmost province in Poland. Forecasts of the predicted categories of services to be delivered in the following year in emergency departments in the region are formulated based on the simulated demand level. The process of input data analysis is described in detail, and basic assumptions for the simulation model are formulated. The results provide some insights into the relation between sub-regional demographic trends and population needs in relation to hospital emergency arrivals.

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Paper citation in several formats:

Mielczarek, B. (2013). Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level. In Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH; ISBN 978-989-8565-69-3; ISSN 2184-2841, SciTePress, pages 197-203. DOI: 10.5220/0004583601970203

@conference{simultech13,
author={Bożena Mielczarek.},
title={Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH},
year={2013},
pages={197-203},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0004583601970203},
isbn={978-989-8565-69-3},
issn={2184-2841},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - SIMULTECH
TI - Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level
SN - 978-989-8565-69-3
IS - 2184-2841
AU - Mielczarek, B.
PY - 2013
SP - 197
EP - 203
DO - 10.5220/0004583601970203
PB - SciTePress