where d
Ex
stands for the exact delay in the absence of
noise. The bar charts in figures 4 a, b, and c show
the values of Q for all parameters (see figure cap-
tions) and for three different delays, d
Ex
= 40, 10,15,
respectively.
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Q
Q
Q
a)
c)
b)
Figure 4: Bar charts showing Q along the vertical axis for
three different delays: a) d
Ex
= 40, b) d
Ex
= 100, and c)
d
Ex
= 150. Each shade of gray represents one parameter in
the order (left to right) r, r
0
, k
x
, γ, K, and k
y
. Within each
shade, the columns correspond to the five values of β: 0.1,
0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9.
4 CONCLUSIONS
We have studied the effects of extrinsic noise on the
activation delays of a genetic switch. Our analysis
shows that, although any of the parameters in the
model can be manipulated to generate delays, not all
parameters are equally robust against external noise.
In particular,looking at theaverage
¯
Q =
∑
β
Q for each
parameter, one finds that K, the translation rate, is
most suseptible to external noise and therefore least
suitable for generating delays. On the other hand, r
and r
0
, having the lowest
¯
Q among all parameters, can
be used to induce delays with the highest confidence.
Two observations should be made: first, the above
results indicate that all parameters gain robustness
with decreasing β; and second, Q falls as the de-
lays increase. Therefore, knowing β for a partic-
ular gene, one can estimate the likelyhood of that
gene to play a role in generating delays. In most
cases, β is always less than 1 ((Hargrove and Schmidt
(1989))) and can be as small as 0.007 ((Yamamoto
et al. (1988))). However, for some proteins and their
corresponding mRNA’s, such as the Glucocorticoid
receptor ((Rosewicz et al. (1988))) and Ornithine de-
carboxylase ((Rogers et al. (1986))), it can range from
1 up to 4. Although in the deterministic case the de-
lays can reach infinity, in the presence of noise Q in-
creases as a function of d
Ex
, which suggests a limit on
the length of time the switch can be reliably delayed.
As a final comment, we point out that some mod-
els of the genetic switch neglect the translational time
lapse between the synthesis of mRNA and the cor-
responding protein. Under this assumption the two
quantities ξ and η in Eqs. (4) can be equated, which
leads to a single equation for ξ. Mathematically, this
simplification can be justified only for β ≫ 1. As this
limit is unrealistic for most biological systems, one
may conclude that in the context of delayed switch-
ing, Eqs. (4) constitute the minimal model required
to explain long time activation delays.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We thank L. Trotta, E. Bullinger, M. Kinnaert and T.
Konopka for useful discussions.
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MODELING DELAYS IN STATE TRANSITION OF A BISTABLE GENETIC SWITCH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
EXTRINSIC NOISE
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