is the first factor for a positive decision whether
to invest;
The NPV becomes positive in slightly more than
2 years, minimizing the risks linked to the
uncertainty (namely the Discounted Payback
Period), which is an additional factor for a
positive decision of investment.
4 DISCUSSION
In this first rough analysis some possible synergies
and factors that could increase the NPV and
decrease the Payback Time have not been
considered, such as:
Possibility of exploiting the night shift and the
week-end without additional costs, increasing the
capacity;
Thanks to the AGV fleet coordinator and mission
planner, collaborative planning and picking
techniques could be enabled. This directly
impacts on shorter routes for AGVs and thus
results in time savings and improvement of the
overall performance of the system. In turn this
could mean either that less vehicle are necessary
or that the capacity can be increased. This would
further reduce the payback time under 2 years;
With the autonomous systems, the route and
picking sequence are chosen for the pallet to be
stable: this means that no additional time at the
picking place must be spent by the system for
moving parcels around in order to achieve the
pallet stability. This can be translated in time
saving with respect to the current manual
process: currently, while picking, the operator
needs to identify on the fly the most stable
position for the parcels taking into account the
overall stability and that there will be more items
on the same pallet. Even though the result of a
human operator compiling a mixed pallet will
most likely be better in stability and volume
optimization, the robot is able to pre-plan this,
which avoids re-palletization that even the most
experienced human operator needs to accomplish
in order to reach a satisfactory result;
The depreciation tax shield, not included in this
model, will have a further positive impact on the
NPV, further pushing towards a positive decision
of investment.
In the presented business case, for the purpose of
demonstrating its utility and convenience, the fast
deployable autonomous system for order picking is
considered as a product, hence with a technology
readiness level (TRL) of 9, namely as an “actual
system proven in operational environment”
(European Commission). As a matter of fact, even if
most of its sub-systems - such as the SLaM module
or the feet management - have a high TRL (7 or
more), the system as a whole has a current TRL of 2
(“technology concept formulated”), because its sub-
systems have not yet been integrated, tested and
optimized in their potential synergies.
The future work in this regard is twofold. First
(1) step changes in TRL of the single modules need
to be achieved; in particular the manipulator and the
technology to cut the pallet’s wrapping need to be
optimized in order to be lightweight, since they are
to be in operation at 10 meters height and suitable
for the few cluttered workspace available between
the shelves of the warehouse. Then (2) work needs
to focus on the integration of each module, proofing
the effectiveness and efficiency of the whole system.
Only in this second phase it will be possible to
assess open points concerning, for instance, the
overall system positioning accuracy or the autonomy
and efficiency of its power supply.
5 CONCLUSIONS
This paper shows how the robot-to-goods paradigm,
implemented thanks to a fast deployable
autonomous commissioning system, can enable
savings for small and medium size logistic
enterprises. First the task and system architecture
have been described, then the economic efficiency
of fast deployable autonomous commissioning
systems has been analysed in a real business case
scenario. The simplified method used for the
business case analysis has been explained and
discussed. The clearly positive Net Present Value of
the investment and the short Payback Period, proved
how the automation of the forklift platform for the
commissioning process is economically attractive
for SMEs.
REFERENCES
Amazon, picking challenge, https://www.youtube.com/w
atch?v=UrpMfdj-Mpc.
Autostore https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyVDMp2b
L9c.
Bischoff, E., Janetz, F., and Ratcliff, M., 1995. Loading
pallets with nonidentical items, European Journal of
Operational Research 84.
Bonini, M., Prenesti, D., Urru, A. and Echelmeyer, W.,
2015. Towards the full automation of distribution