Figure 1: Solving the prognostication problem from known to present events (innovative technologies and new training
conditions are included in 2016).
coefficients of which are calculated by the program
when solving the problem of computer modeling.
4 CONCLUSIONS
When using developed pedagogic methods for
increasing the training process efficiency:
implementation of individual-oriented approach to
selection of training means and methods, optimum
selection of physical stress in accordance with
sportsmen’ individual resources, continuous
methodical support of the training process with
trainer's participation, criterion conditions presented
in Tables 2 and 3 will be met (Bolotin and Bakayev,
2016; Bolotin and Bakayev, 2017).
Figure 1 presents forecasting results for 2018
with existing organization of the training process
and in case of introduction of the innovative training
methods suggested by us (meeting conditions of
Tables 2 and 3). Figure shows sportsmen number
dynamics with the standard training system and the
prognostication result in case of introduction of the
innovative training process technologies in 2018.
The use of simulation modeling has shown the
high efficiency for solving the problem of training
process prognostication in hammer throwers taking
into account peculiarities of their stress adaptation. It
is found that if limitations for controlling and
controlled parameters of the training process of
hammer throwers are set the problem for
prognostication of training efficiency has solution.
Maximization of the number of hammer throwers
who fulfilled the qualification norm successfully for
participation in the international competitions was
the target function for solving our problem.
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1
0,85
0,75
0,7
0,67
1
0,85
0,75
0,6
0,32
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Standardized sportsmen
number
Years
New conditions
Innovative
Standard
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