Analysis the Influence of Day of the Week, Monday, and Weekend
Effect of on Seasonal Anomaly in in Stock Return: Evidence of
Companies on LQ45 Indonesia in Indonesian Stock Exchange
Muslim A Djalil, Murkhana, M.Rizal Yahya, Qurratul Aini
Accounting Department, Faculty of Economic and Business,
Syiah Kuala University, Banda Aceh, Indonesia
Keywords: Day of the Week effect, Monday Effect, Weekend Effect, Return
Abstract: This study aims to determine the occurrence of day of the week effect, the occurrence of monday effect, the
occurrence of weekend effect, and the effect of day trading on the daily return of shares in the Indonesia
Stock Exchange. The sample used in this research is daily return data of company stock LQ 45 period of
February 2017 until January 2018 which amounted to 45 company. Data analysis technique used is one
sample t-test for day of the week effect, independent sample t-test for Monday effect and weekend effect,
and multiple linear regression statiscal tool is employed to find out the effect of trading day to daily stock
return. The results showed that there was no significant difference between daily stock return on trading
days in a week on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Then, there is Monday Effect on the trading of shares in
Indonesia Stock Exchange, there is a weekend effect on stock trading in Indonesia Stock Exchange, and also
there is influence of trading day to daily return of shares in Indonesia Stock Exchange.
1 INTRODUCTION
The capital market is one of the alternative
means to collect long-term funds from the
community as investors in supporting the
development of a country. The community as an
investor will see a profit from every trading activity
that occurs in the capital market, while the company
can raise funds from the community to overcome
financial difficulties experienced. The capital
market, as well as a means to collect funds for the
company, either a container of investment for
investors. Therefore, for creating a good investment
climate and enforcement implementation and good
supervision then there must a institutions that
regulate (Putra and Ardiana, 2016).In capital market,
there is stock returnwhich is an advantage gained by
investors who invest their shares in the stock
exchange. The stock return can be the difference of
the acquisition price of the stock with the release
price of the stock. Usually shareholders want the
high stock returns, very high stock returns are
commonly termed with abnormal stock returns
(Kasdjan, Nazarudin, and Yusuf, 2017). While
according Hartono and Jogiyanto (2007), return is
the result that obtained from investment or level of
profits enjoyed by investor from his investment.
Thus, the stock return is the rate of return that will
be obtained by investors for their investment in a
company's stock.
Along with the wants and needs of shareholders
of this high stock return, the market will be affected.
As the legal concept of demand, where the demand
for an item is higher, then the price of the goods will
also be higher. Thus, there is a possibility of changes
in stock prices every day in a week. This leads to
differences in stock investment decisions in certain
days. This phenomenon is commonly termed the day
of the week effect. On the Indonesia Stock Exchange
there are 5 trading days (Monday, Tuesday,
Wednesday, Thursday, Friday) and 2 days without
trading (Saturday and Sunday), (Kasdjan,
Nazarudin, and Yusuf, 2017).In addition, the
influence of seasonal anomalies has also been
proven by one of the lecturers of the Faculty of
Economics, University of Riau, which proves the
existence of Monday effect on stock return JII in
Djalil, M., Murkhana, ., Yahya, M. and Aini, Q.
Analysis the Influence of Day of the Week, Monday, and Weekend Effect of on Seasonal Anomaly in in Stock Return: Evidence of Companies on LQ45 Indonesia in Indonesian Stock
Exchange.
DOI: 10.5220/0008443006030610
In Proceedings of the 4th Sriwijaya Economics, Accounting, and Business Conference (SEABC 2018), pages 603-610
ISBN: 978-989-758-387-2
Copyright
c
2019 by SCITEPRESS – Science and Technology Publications, Lda. All rights reserved
603
Indonesia Stock Exchange. From the regression
analysis obtained some conclusions. First, Monday's
return is different from any other day. Second, the
lowest return is concentrated in the second week at
the beginning of the month. Third, the negative
return on Monday is affected by the return on the
previous Friday. Fourth, the emergence of the
Monday effect is not the same throughout the time
of data observation (Azlina, 2009).
In stock return there are significant difference of
influence, which is proved by previous research
conducted by (Iramani and Mahdi, 2006), (Widodo,
2008), (Akbar, 2009), (Rita M. , 2009), (Ambarwati,
2009), (Maria and Syahyunan, 2013), (Lutfiaji,
2013), (Saputro, 2014) which found that trading day
had a significant effect on stock return. While
research conducted by (Prasetyo, 2006), (Pratomo,
2007), (Arieyani, 2011), (Wijaya dkk 2013) found
that trading days have no relationship to stock
returns.
Then, one of the strategies or techniques
commonly used by shareholders for decision-making
in stock investments is the market anomaly, which is
an unanticipated event or event and this offers the
shareholder an opportunity to earn an abnormal
share return (Kasdjan, Nazarudin, and Yusuf, 2017).
This market anomalies include Seasonal Anomalies,
Accounting Anomalies, Company Anomalies, Event
Anomalies.
In this research I chose Seasonal Anomalies as
an research object because according to Trisnadi and
Sedana (2016), the market anomaly violates the
hypothesis about the concept of capital market
efficiency that states investors can not expect price
and return based on stock prices in the past caused
by a random return, but can be predicted based on
the effect of certain calendars.
While seasonal anomalies is a seasonal market
which is seasonal, an anomaly that has the form of
deviation of efficient market hypothesis. Seasonal
anomalies or calender effect itself intends a market
anomaly or economic effect that appears related to
the calendar. These effects include different
behaviors of the stock market on different days of
the week, different times of the month, and different
time of year/season (Endarwati, 2017).
In general, efficient capital market situation
shows the relationship between market price and
market form. Later, the development of the
company's financial theory in this capital market
over the last few decades has been growing very
rapidly. Then later put forward the proposed
Efficient Market Hypothesis or better known as
Efficient Market Hypothesis which may be one of
the most famous breakthroughs proposed by Eugene
F. Fama in 1970 (Harijanto and Kurniawati, 2013).
The Efficient Market Hypothesis states that an
efficient market is a market where the prices of all
securities traded by investors have reflected all the
information. This information means the information
that comes from the past, present, or information
that is opinion or rational opinion circulating in the
market that can affect the price movement
(Tandelilin 2010). If a market is in an efficient state,
then the existing security prices should move at
random (Random Walk) and unpredictable
(Harijanto and Kurniawati, 2013).
Many of the findings suggest empirical evidence
that supports the concept of efficient capital markets.
In it, the conclusions obtained for each study show
varying results between each other (Harijanto and
Kurniawati, 2013)In his research, Dwi
Cahyaningdyah (2005) found the phenomenon of
Day of the Week Effect on the Jakarta Stock
Exchange, with the lowest return occurred on
Monday (Monday Effect) and the highest return
occurred on Friday (Weekend Effect). Then, Ricky
Chee-Jiun Chia dkk (2008), also found the
phenomenon of Day of the Week Effect in several
Capital Market in Asian Region like Capital Market
of Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, and South
Korea. The study found that the rate of return for
each trading day differed significantly, including
Monday's tend to be negative and Friday's return
which tended to be higher than in other days.
Lutfur Rahman (2009) who conducted the
research on Dhaka Stock Exchange, found that
trading day had a significant effect on stock return
on Dhaka Stock Exchange. Rahman explained that
the schedule of news announcements related to
economic conditions affect investors' behavior in
conducting stock transactions, thus forming a daily
pattern of stock returns.After that, there is a testing
of January Effect that ever done by Wing-Keung
Wong, et al (2006) on the Singapore Stock
Exchange for the purpose of re-examining the
existence of Calendar Anomalies in the Singapore
Capital Market using the latest data divided into two
sub-periods, before the crisis and after the 1997
crisis. Through this research, it was found that the
anomaly phenomenon in the Singapore Capital
Market increasingly weakened its existence. The
study found that the January Effect phenomenon that
was positive in the pre-crisis period turned into a
negative value in the period after the crisis.
The objectives of this research are to investigate
the effect of difference of return that happened on
Day of the Week,the occurrence of Monday,
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Weekend, and trading day on daily stock returns in
Indonesia Stock Exchange.
2 LITERATURE REVIEW AND
HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT
2.1 Efficient Market Theory
According to Eugene Fama (1965) and Sahoo
(2018) The efficient markets hypothesis (EMH),
popularly known as the Random Walk Theory, is the
proposition that current stock prices fully reflect
available information about the value of the firm,
and there is no way to earn excess profits, (more
than the market overall), by using this information.
The term market efficiency is used to explain the
relationship between information and share prices in
the capital market literature.
2.2 Seasonal Anomalies
Seasonal anomaly is an anomaly to the calendar
pattern or time pattern in stock trading day (Kasdjan,
Nazarudin, and Yusuf, 2017). In financial theory
there are four kinds of Market Anomalies, namely
Company Anomaly, Seasonal Anomaly, Event
Anomaly and Accounting Anomaly according to
Levi (1996) in (Apriolita, Gumanti, and Swastika,
2011). Seasonal anomalies appear dependent on the
time. Stock prices on seasonally based companies,
such as trading or convection firms will tend to
increase on days when the season is busy.
2.2.1 Day of the Week Effect
The day of the week effect is the difference in
return between Monday and the other days of the
week significantly (Damodaran, 1996). Usually a
significant negative return occurs on Monday while
a positive return occurs on other days. The effect of
day trading on stock return is an interesting
phenomenon to be noticed. This phenomenon is part
of the anomaly of efficient market theory. In
efficient market theory states that stock returns are
not different on every trading day. But the day of the
week effect phenomenon states that there is a
difference of return for each trading day in a week
where on Monday tend to create a negative return.
2.2.2 Monday Effect
Monday effect is one part of The Day of the
Week Effect that is a seasonal anomaly (calendar
effect) that occurs in the financial market when the
stock return is significantly negative on Monday
Mehdian and Perry in (Budileksmana, 2005). The
anomaly violates the hypothesis of market efficiency
of weak form. The market efficiency hypothesis of
weak form considers that the information contained
in the historical stock price is fully illustrated in the
current stock price and the information can not be
used to obtain excess return Elton and Gruber in
(Budileksmana, 2005).
2.2.3 Weekend Effect
Weekend effect is a late Sunday effect resulting
in a symptom showing that stock returns on Friday
will be higher than other trading days, on the
contrary Monday will show a lower return
(Tandelilin, 2001). Weekend effect is a phenomenon
in financial markets where stock returns on Monday
are significantly lower than last Friday. Some
theories that explain the effect of attributes tendency
for companies to release bad news on Friday after
the market close to stock prices depressed Monday.
2.3 Stock Return
Stock Return is the rate of return (profit/loss)
on capital investment in the form of reward. Returns
in the form of profits earned by shareholders are
called capital gains, while the loss return is called
capital loss (Yatmi, Astuti, and Widarno, 2016).
Return is profit or an investment that is usually
expressed as annual percentage rate. Return of stock
represents the expected rate of return on stocks
invested in stocks or multiple stock groups through a
portfolio. This stock return can serve as an indicator
of trading activities in the capital market.
2.4 LQ45 Index
The LQ 45 or Liquid 45 index is the best
company of 45 stocks in Indonesia with large market
capitalization and high liquidity, where the shares
are actively traded by investors, thus making the LQ
45 index as a stock index sensitive to the presence of
information that entered into the market (Trisnadi
and Sedana, 2016).
Based on previous research, it can be formulated
the following research framework as shown in
Figure 1 as follows:
Analysis the Influence of Day of the Week, Monday, and Weekend Effect of on Seasonal Anomaly in in Stock Return: Evidence of
Companies on LQ45 Indonesia in Indonesian Stock Exchange
605
Figure 1: Research Framework
The hypotheses of this research are that the
occurrence of monday, weekend, and trading day
have either simultaneous or partial effect on daily
stock returns in Indonesia Stock Exchange
3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Research Design
The research design is defined as the process of
designing research in such way which requisite data
can be collected and analyze to get the solutions.
The various aspects of research design which
involve and related to decision are concerning to
purpose of study, study setting, type of investigation,
extent of researcher interference, unit analysis and
time horizon (Sekaran and Bougie, 2010).
3.2 Research Population and Sample
The Population of this research is all listed
companies that entered LQ45 Index for the period
February 2017 until January 2018. Population refers
to events, entire group or things of interest which
researcher desires to investigate (Sekaran and
Bougie, 2010). In order to guarantee the
representation of the variables to be tested, then the
sample are selected by the method of purposive
sampling. Criteria in sampling are companies that
remain/consistently listed in the LQ 45 Index in the
February 2017 to January 2018 period, which
amounted to 45 companies.
3.3 Source and Data Collection
The data used in this study is quantitative data
sourced from secondary data that has been published
by the Indonesia Stock Exchange that is in the form
of company data included in the LQ 45 index and
the closing price of daily stocks of companies
included in the LQ 45 index during the period
February 2017 until January 2018. Source of data
obtained from the website of Indonesia Stock
Exchange in www.yahoofinance.com. This research
is using documentation method. Data collection
begins with a preliminary research stage, which is to
study literature by studying books and literature,
economic and business journals, and other reading
related to the capital market. At this stage is also
done assessment of required data, availability of
data, and description how to obtain data.
3.4 Variable Operationalization
3.4.1 Dependent Variable (Y)
Return of stock used in this research is daily
stock return calculated on the basis of closing price
on every trading day. The formula is (Hartono J. ,
2000):
3.4.2 Independent Variable (X)
3.4.2.1 Day of the Week Effect
The value of the day of the week effect or
trading day stock return is done by calculating the
daily stock return from the sample of the company
(Sulistianingsih, 2016).
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3.4.2.2 Monday Effect
The reason of the Monday effect can be seen
from the side of investor’s psychology, where in
making investment decisions not only through
economic rational consideration and objective data,
but also influenced by several conditions such as
emotions, certain psychological conditions, and the
mood of each investor (Maulaya, 2016).
3.4.2.3 Weekend Effect
In some capital markets there is a tendency the
lowest return occurs on Monday and the return
increases on other days. This is because there is a
pattern of daily trading activity conducted by
individual investors. To calculate the return on the
weekend that is (Sulistianingsih, 2016):
4 RESEARCH RESULTS AND
DISSCUSSION
4.1 Research Results
4.1.1 Hypothesis Testing Result
The output of hypothesis testing of
research data by using SPSS can be seen on
Table 1 as follows:
Table1: Output of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis
Coefficients
a
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
Coefficients
T
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
(Constant)
,001
,001
1,391
,172
MONDAY
,372
,177
,302
2,094
,043
TUESDAY
-,005
,075
-,010
-,061
,952
WEDNESDAY
,026
,110
,039
,241
,811
THURSDAY
,195
,100
,308
1,953
,058
FRIDAY
-,009
,006
-,200
-1,366
,180
ANOVA
a
Model
Sum of Squares
Df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
,000
5
,000
2,382
,056
b
Residual
,001
39
,000
Total
,001
44
a. Dependent Variable: STOCK_RETURN
Source:Output of SPSS 23.0 (2018)
The results of t-test and f-test on thetable above
shows that the result of calculations with an error
rate (α) = 0.05; it is obtained the calculated f value is
2,382, and sig f is 0.056. The Ftest indicated that
since sig f is higher than 5 % overall,
variables of Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,
Thursday and Friday have not a simultaneously
significant influence on stock return.
Additionally, from the table above also shows
that the results of T statistical test which is using
error rates α = 0.05 and degree of freedom (n - k),
where n = 225 and k = 5, it is obtained the t table
value is 1.971. It is therefore obtained the partial
hyphotesis testing as follows:
1). The value of t arithmetic Monday’s variable
is 2.094 (t count > t table). Since the value of t
count of the Monday’s variable is >the value t
table or sig t <5%, hence the Monday’s variable has
a partially significant effect on stock returns.
2). The value of t arithmetic Tuesday’s variable
is -0.061 (t count < t table). Because the value of t
count for Tuesday's variable is < than the value of t
table, it is therefore the Tuesday’s variable does not
have a partially significant effect on stock returns.
3). The value of t arithmetic Wednesday’s
variable is 0.241 (t count <t table). Due its value of t
arithmetic Wednesday’s variable is<thanthat the
value of t table or sig t < 5%,so that Wednesday’s
Analysis the Influence of Day of the Week, Monday, and Weekend Effect of on Seasonal Anomaly in in Stock Return: Evidence of
Companies on LQ45 Indonesia in Indonesian Stock Exchange
607
variable also does not have a partially significant
influence the stock returns.
4). The value of t arithmetic Thursday’s variable
is 1.953 (t count < t table). Because the value of t
arithmetic Thursday’s variable is <the value of t
table or sig t < 5%, as the result, thursday’s variable
does not have a partially significant effect on the
stock returns as well
5). The value of t arithmetic Friday’s variable
also has a same result which is -1.366 (t count <
ttable). Because Friday's variable calculation value is
or sig t < the t table value, or sig t <5%, Hence,
Friday's variable also does not have a partially
significant effect on stock returns.
From the result of calculations above, it indicated
that partially only on Monday that has an significant
effect on stock returns. Tuesday, Wednesday,
Thursday, and Friday each have no significant effect
on stock returns. Based on data analysis on daily
stock returns during the study period, the average
stock return on Monday is the highest which is -
0,0008122. This is because on that day most of the
stock prices increased, so the stock returns also
increase. Therefore, on Monday there are no deviant
data, so the regression results for Monday have a
significant effect on stock returns.
On other trading days (Tuesday, Wednesday,
Thursday and Friday), the min value is less than the
standard deviation. This means that there are deviant
data, so the regression results are not significant.
The highest stock return occurred on Friday, which
is 0.0242646 and the lowest occurred on Thursday,
which amounted to -0.0000513, hence this data
range shows quite big gap
4.2 DISCUSSION
4.2.1 Differences of Stock Return on Day of
the Week
The t table value at 95 percent confidence level
and degree of freedom (dk = 124) equal to 1,680. So
the value of t counts > t table (1,415> 1,680). This
means there is no significant difference between
daily stock returns on trading days within a week on
the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Thus, the first
hypothesis which states that there is a difference in
stock returns on Monday to Friday on the Indonesia
Stock Exchange, is not accepted. This research is in
line with (Werastuti, 2012), (Tansar, 2016), and
(Rita M. R., 2009) which found that there was no
significant difference between the daily stock returns
of companies included in LQ 45 on trading days
within a week on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
4.2.2 Monday Effect on Stock Trading in
Indonesia Stock Exchange
Based on the results of descriptive statistical
analysis shows that average stock return on Monday
(-0.0029512) < average stock return Friday
(0.0242646). This indicates that stock returns on
Monday are negative or there is a decline in stock
prices on Monday, with an average is 0.29 percent.
Negative return at the beginning of the week
resulted in Monday effect, which mean the return on
the beginning of the week (Monday) tend to be
negative compared to return on other trading day.
The discovery of Monday effect phenomenon is in
line with (Werastuti, 2012) and (Islam and Sultana,
2015) research which found that where the lowest
return occurred on Monday (Monday effect). Thus
the second hypothesis which states Monday effect
on stock trading in Indonesia Stock Exchange
received.
4.2.3 Weekend Effect on Stock Trading in
Indonesia Stock Exchange
Based on the results of descriptive statistical
analysis shows that the average stock return Friday
is positive value of 0.0242646 larger than Monday
which is -0.0029512. This shows Friday's stock
return increased by an average of 0.02 percent. And
the highest average is Friday compared to other
trading days. Therefore, the third hypothesis which
states a weekend effect on stock trading on the
Indonesia Stock Exchange is accepted. Thus it is in
line with the research conducted by (Lestari, 2011)
and (Kurniawan, 2012) that found that where the
highest return occurs on Friday (weekend effect).
4.2.4 The effect of Trading Day on Daily
Stock Return in Indonesia Stock
Exchange
Based on the results of multiple linear regression
analysis using dummy variables, the results of
research for t test analysis showed that the day of
trading Monday partially have a significant effect on
daily stock returns of companies that entered in LQ
45 in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Based on the
results of F test analysis can be concluded that there
is the effect of trading days as a whole
(simultaneous) to daily stock returns of companies
that entered in LQ 45 in Indonesia Stock Exchange.
The results of this study consistent with the research
conducted by (Wulandari and Diana, 2018) and
(Kurniawan, 2012) that is the influence of trading
SEABC 2018 - 4th Sriwijaya Economics, Accounting, and Business Conference
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days as a whole (simultaneous) to the company's
daily stock return on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
5 CONCLUSIONS
The conclusions of the research are 1). The
simultaneous test indicated that research variables
have no a simultaneously significant influence on
stock return. Similarly, tested partially, it is only the
occurrence Monday has a significant effect on daily
stock returns in Indonesia Stock Exchange; 2). There
is no significant difference between stock return on
trading days in a week in Indonesia Stock Exchange
in February 2017 until January 2018. 3). A Monday
effect on stock trading on the Indonesia Stock
Exchange results in a negative stock return at the
beginning of the week for the period of February
2017 up to January 2018; 4) Aweekend effects occur
on stock trading on the Indonesia Stock Exchange
which results in the highest positive stock returns on
weekends for the period February 2017 to January
2018
Despite its important finding, this research is not
without limitations.It has provided an adequate
argument about the factors that cause the day of the
week effect phenomenon in the LQ 45 index, but it
is still unable to explain whether the behavior of
individual investors or the behavior of institutional
investors has the biggest role as the cause of the
phenomenon, and has not given any argument about
any information that gives positive sentiment and
negative sentiment towards the movement of LQ 45
index which can bring up the Monday effect
phenomenon which can not be proven in this
research.
To the best of our knowledge, the paperis the
first focusing on research framework investigating
the cause and effect relationship between the
occurrence of day of the week, monday, and
weekend and Seasonal Anomaly in Stock Return in
the context of Companies listed on LQ45 of
Indonesian Stock Exchange.
In general, the outcome of research will enhance
the literature on financial management and stock
market; and in particular it will provide empirical
evidence regarding the behavior and pattern of
seasonal anomaly on stock return.
The future studies are expected to provide
arguments for the emergence of the phenomenon of
day of the week effect in the Indonesian capital
market, not merely revealed the existence of the
phenomenon but it can also reveal the role of
individual investors and institutional investors as
well as important information as causative factors
the emergence of such phenomena. The sample
chosen in this study which only uses the LQ 45
index has not been able to comprehensively reflect
the condition of the Indonesian stock exchange. The
period used is also relatively short at only one year,
starting in February 2015 until January 2016, so it
can not influence the variation observed between
time. Therefore, for the purpose of proving the
consistency of Monday effects existence
comprehensively, further studies can use the entire
population of the issuer, and the use of longer
periods is recommended for further research.
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