market share (broad target). This is not just Mobee is
a new player in the content business, but more
importantly, Mobee needs to build the image first
among the subscriber. As understood, the subscriber
today is still not familiar with mobile business
content as well as internet business content that
already existed. Mobee needs to focus on the market
segment of the media group while the non-media
group market education process is effective.
Another alternative determination of a grand
strategy is to use the Quantitative Strategic Planning
Matrix (QSPM) model derived from IFE (Internal
Factors Evaluation) and EFE (External Factors
Evaluation) matrix in the SWOT analysis process.
The main content of QSPM is the various types of
grand strategy that can be used by the company. In
the first quadrant is generally the type of market
penetration & market development strategy.
Quadrants II and IV each have a strategy type
product development & horizontal integration and
concentric & conglomerate diversification.
Meanwhile Quadrant III only has type of strategy of
retrenchment & divesture.
For the Mobee case, based on the information
obtained we can qualify entry in quadrant I. The
core position in quadrant I is the more dominant
factor of the factor compared with the factor of
threats and strengths factor is also more dominant
than the weaknesses factor.
Table 3: Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix Analysis
of Mobee.
Rapid Market Growth
Second Quadrant
Weak Competitive Positiobn
First Quadrant
Strong Competitive Position
Third Quadrant Fourth Quadrant
Slow Market Growth
3.1.8 Why Is Mobee Included in Quadrant
I?
There are two main reasons. First, Mobee exists
when the number of mobile phone users in Indonesia
has increased drastically. The main requirement to
be a Mobee subscriber is to have a mobile phone.
Secondly, Mobee tries to offer multimedia services
that are content business in the latest form. So far,
the Indonesian subscriber is new to the content
business format via the internet.
By looking at the results of the mapping in
quadrant I, the most relevant strategy is market
penetration. The operational definition is to build
community among subscriber like yahoo.group.
Lupiyoadi and Hamdani (2006) states generally the
subscriber has a repeat order character that means
once they trust (trust) then forever they will not
switch to other types of portals. Thus, the
development of community will accelerate the
creation of trust among subscriber. Functionally the
development of subscriber community is optimized
with Mobee's web-design program, which should
appear on the mobile screen. The Mobee web-design
needs to be up-dating at all times so that the
innovation power of Mobee will still appear to be
maximum and the subscriber's loyalty is maintained.
3.2 Financial Analysis
For Mobee valuation, we will use one of the most
popular methods of DCF or discounted cash flow
application. The steps of this DCF method are as
follows:
1. Determine the potential market for the last 6
months in 2007 with 3 scenarios that are
optimistic scenario, most likely, and pessimistic
that involves about 100 thousand to 600
thousand people. These figures are based on
benchmarks from Compass that can reach 500
thousand people per day. The optimistic, most
probable, and pessimistic conditions are 20%,
60%, and 20% based on the weighting used in
PERT (project evaluation and review technique)
i.e. 1/6, 4/6 and 1/6 (Taylor, 2015). Optimistic
conditions are all Mobee content received by the
users and some users are the subscriber groups of
the top media such as Kompas and SWA. The
most likely condition is most of Mobee's content
is accepted by users and most of them are
subscriber of "second tier" media groups. The
pessimistic condition is that only a small
percentage of content is received and some users
are subscribers of non-media groups.
2. Determine growth from 2007-2008 and 2008-
2011 (supernormal growth period) and 2011 and
beyond (normal growth period). Each for an
optimistic scenario is 20%; 50% and 10%. Then
for the most likely scenario, the growth rate is
10%, 20% and 5%. And the last pessimistic
scenario has a growth rate of 5%, 10% and 0%.
3. Determine the nominal revenue that Mobee can
earn from advertising and other sources of 10%
and 5%. Especially, ads will have a downward
trend from 2007-2014 of 1% per year due to
regulatory factors (limitation of advertising via
SMS) and market saturation (in the future, there
will be more copy-paint businesses that have
similar content to Mobee).
4. Determine Mobee subscription fees reasonable