Context-based User Activity Prediction for Mobility Planning

Karl-Heinz Krempels, Fabian Ohler, Thomas Osterland, Christoph Terwelp

2019

Abstract

By analyzing the individual travel characteristics of persons, it occurs that most trips are not journeys to other cities or countries but short trips, as the daily trip to work or the weekly meeting at the gym. For those trips, people know the basic conditions, as e.g., the bus driving schedule or the journey duration and it represents more effort to plan the trip beforehand, than just remember the data. But what if there is a problem, like a stalled train or a car crash on the route. Unpredictable ocurrences might be noticed too late and affect the parameters of the trip. A travelling assistant that is able to anticipate regular trips and that warns in case of problems, without requesting dedicated user input might be a solution. In this paper we consider the problem of creating an assistant based on the context information captured from a smartphone. We discuss approaches based on histogram evaluation, a Bayesian network and a multilayer perceptron that allow the prediction of locations and activities given a time and a date. These approaches are benchmarked and compared to each other to find the solution that provides the best results in prediction quality and training speed.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Krempels K., Ohler F., Osterland T. and Terwelp C. (2019). Context-based User Activity Prediction for Mobility Planning.In Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence - Volume 2: ICAART, ISBN 978-989-758-350-6, pages 568-575. DOI: 10.5220/0007351105680575

in Bibtex Style

@conference{icaart19,
author={Karl-Heinz Krempels and Fabian Ohler and Thomas Osterland and Christoph Terwelp},
title={Context-based User Activity Prediction for Mobility Planning},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence - Volume 2: ICAART,},
year={2019},
pages={568-575},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0007351105680575},
isbn={978-989-758-350-6},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence - Volume 2: ICAART,
TI - Context-based User Activity Prediction for Mobility Planning
SN - 978-989-758-350-6
AU - Krempels K.
AU - Ohler F.
AU - Osterland T.
AU - Terwelp C.
PY - 2019
SP - 568
EP - 575
DO - 10.5220/0007351105680575