Analytics Applied to the Study of Reputational Risk through the
Analysis of Social Networks (Twitter) for the El Dorado Airport in
the City of Bogotá (Colombia)
Luis Gabriel Moreno Sandoval
1
and Liliana María Pantoja Rojas
2
1
Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Facultad de Ingeniería, Colombia
2
Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Facultad de Ingeniería, Colombia
Keywords: Reputational Risk, Twitter, Polarity, Social Network, Computational Linguistic.
Abstract: Within a society increasingly technological and immersed in the different possibilities offered by the Internet
as a channel of interaction and communication, there is a need for private and state entities to explore the
information contained in social networks, an opportunity that implies new challenges associated with
emerging risks such as reputational. For this reason, through the study of social networks, reputational risk
and computational linguistics, an analysis of the strategic accounts of the El Dorado Airport of the city of
Bogotá (Colombia) on Twitter (@bog_eldorado) is carried out, taking into account the mentions and most
relevant hashtags, to identify the polarity through of BoW (Bag of Words) of your comments and infer the
user experience, customer satisfaction and how this influences reputational risk.
1 INTRODUCTION
The availability of massive amounts of data in the
scenario of the web has given new statistical and
computational impetus to the field of social network
analysis. According to Aggarwal (2011), thanks to
this emerging phenomenon, the study of social
networks has taken a new direction concerning the
results of data analytics, changes in the paradigms of
the computational social sciences along with the
analysis the text of social extraction, the complexity
sciences and social simulations.
Consequently, the computational challenges
associated with the ability to perform mining and
analytical processes to these sources of information in
the context of a social network, constitute an
unprecedented challenge and an opportunity to
determine useful information in a great variety of
fields (Mika , 2004; Mislove, Marcon, Gummadi,
Druschel, and Bhattacharjee, 2007; Zafar,
Bhattacharya, Ganguly, Gummadi, and Ghosh, 2015;
Zafarani, Abbasi, and Liu, 2014), including
reputational risk.
Participation in contemporary social life through
networks has become increasingly complicated;
people accumulate hundreds of friends and
acquaintances through social media, but more and
more report a smaller number of friends they can trust
(Burt, Kilduff, and Tasselli, 2013).
For the foregoing and in order to analyze as a case
study the reputational risk at El Dorado Airport in
Bogotá (Colombia) taking into account the most
relevant mentions and hashtags, to identify the
polarity of their comments and infer the user
experience and customer satisfaction, six sections are
presented. The second refers to the conceptual
framework, the third is the case study. In the fourth
and fifth sections is the methodology and
development and in the sixth section the conclusions
and future work.
2 CONCEPTUAL REVIEW
The present study has three fundamental pillars:
reputation, social networks and computational
linguistics that will be described below:
2.1 Reputational Risk
The traditional types of risk that can affect reputation
are mainly strategic, operational, financial and
compliance risks, which can often be quantified, but
their collective impact on reputation is difficult to
488
Moreno Sandoval, L. and Pantoja Rojas, L.
Analytics Applied to the Study of Reputational Risk through the Analysis of Social Networks (Twitter) for the El Dorado Airport in the City of Bogotá (Colombia).
DOI: 10.5220/0007770804880495
In Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems (ICEIS 2019), pages 488-495
ISBN: 978-989-758-372-8
Copyright
c
2019 by SCITEPRESS Science and Technology Publications, Lda. All rights reserved
foresee (Lamont, 2015). However, reputation can also
be affected by additional risks that fall outside these
areas, especially those that come from social
networks.
It should be understood that reputation is one of the
main intangible assets that helps organizations not
only to obtain competitive advantages, but also to
survive in times of economic turbulence (Fernández-
Gámez, Gil-Corral, and Galán-Valdivieso, 2016),
which is why it is necessary for organizations to use
a multifaceted approach.
The organization managers, estimate that an
intangible increasingly important in the
organizational field is the corporate reputation (CR),
and although it is the most important asset, it is also
the most difficult to protect (E., De la Fuente Sabaté,
and Delgado García, 2005). In the eighties, many
experts in organizational valuation assured that 70%
of the value of a business depended on its tangible
assets and 30% of what its intangible assets
contributed. At present, it is thought that 75% of the
value of a business depends on the quality and
management of intangible assets (Tomás Garicano
Rojas, 2011).
Now, for Hernández Velasco (2012), from the
corporate point of view, reputation is the recognition
that interest groups or "stakeholders" make of the
behavior of an organization in the satisfaction of its
expectations and reputational risk in relation to the
response that these "stakeholders" can have when
their expectations are not met.
2.2 Social Network Analysis (SNA)
A social network consists of a set of relationships
established between a group of social actors, as well
as any additional information about those actors and
their relationships Bodin and Prell, 2011). The
social network's approach is based on the notion of
having patterns associated with social ties, in which
some actors are involved, and their interactions have
significant consequences for them. Social network
analysts seek to discover different kinds of patterns,
determine the conditions under which they arise and
explore their consequences on the attitudes,
perspectives, and behaviors of individuals, groups or
subgroups and the systems to which they belong
(Scott J, 2011 ).
2.1.1 Basic elements of a Network
According to Bodin and Crona, (2009), we have the
following definitions of the essential elements of a
network:
Nodes or actors: These are the people or groups of
people who are around a common goal. Usually, the
nodes or actors are represented by circles. The sums
of all the nodes represent the size of the network.
Link: These are the links that exist between two or
more nodes. In a network, a direct connection with
another actor is shown. Lines represent the links or
relationships.
Flow: Indicates the link address. An arrow indicating
the direction represents the streams. It is also possible
that there are also mutual or bidirectional flows.
When an actor does not have any current, which in
turn implies no link, it is said that this node is loose
within the network.
2.1.2 Analysis of Social Networks-Properties
According to Freeman (2004), the analysis of social
networks is based on four characteristics that have
been consolidated since their appearance and whose
integration gives rise to a research paradigm:
a) The study of social networks is motivated by a
basic intuition based on the bonds that unite
social actors.
b) It is an approach that is based on systematic and
empirical data.
c) It is found in no small extent on graphic
representations and,
d) It relies on the use of mathematical and
computational models.
According to the thesis: "Evolution of the policy
network for innovation in Colombia: The emerging
phenomenon of confirmation of governance
networks" (Moreno, 2015), the structural
characteristics of the network that the theory on the
analysis of social networks distinguish the following
elements:
Level of cohesion of the network: an essential feature
of social networks is their level of coherence, that is,
to what extent the network "works together" when
presenting relations between nodes instead of being
divided into subgroups cohesive among themselves.
This means that a network with high structural
cohesion lacks a set of differentiable subsets,
understanding that the existence of subgroups
represents challenges to unite the action towards
common initiatives.
Position and influence of the network: this is a
structural characteristic that is analyzed to understand
the location of the actors in the structure to influence
the system. Being better placed can access valuable
information (Burt et al., 2013). There are several
ways to define and measure centrality in social
Analytics Applied to the Study of Reputational Risk through the Analysis of Social Networks (Twitter) for the El Dorado Airport in the City
of Bogotá (Colombia)
489
networks. The first is by a degree of centrality and the
second by a degree of intermediation.
The degree of centrality refers to the number of links
an actor has or can be understood as the degree to
which an individual actor connects with other actors
and is associated with the level of activity in the
network (Burt et al., 2013). In the analysis of social
networks, the degree to which an actor indirectly
connects to other actors is often quantified using the
degree of intermediation (Freeman, 2004) with which
it is determined that an actor that is among many other
actors in The network has a high degree of mediation,
which implies that it could act as a bridge between
others that would be disconnected without their
existence.
2.3 Computational Linguistics
According to Montes-y-Gómez, (2002)
computational linguistics is "the science that deals
with the application of computational methods in the
study of natural language. This science is a
combination of two larger sciences; linguistics,
which studies the laws of human language, and
artificial intelligence, which investigates
computational methods for the management of
complex systems. "
Now, the sentimental analysis aims to determine the
attitude of a speaker or a writer concerning some
topic, or the global polarity of a document. According
to Albornoz (2011) the polarity classification aims to
obtain a score that indicates whether the text
expresses a positive or negative opinion, within a
range where 0 would mean a neutral subjective load,
1 a positive personal load and -1 a load personal
negative.
It is possible to use many techniques in the
classification of polarity, these can be supervised
algorithms such as SVM (Support Vector Machine),
LR (Logistic Regression), NB (Naive Bayes) among
others, there are other types of models are based on
lexicons; in this case study was used a polarity
lexicon called "CSL: A Combined Spanish Lexicon -
Resource for Polarity" through a process of BoW
(Bag of Words) (Moreno et al., 2017). It was
possible to determine the polarity of comments,
hashtags, and mentions in the tweets, finally, these
results are consolidated in the kind cluster file that is
read for the SNA process.
3 CASE STUDY: EL DORADO
AIRPORT
The El Dorado Airport is part of the urban and
architectural history of Colombia and Bogotá.
OPAIN S.A. is the company set up with the sole
objective of managing, modernizing, commercially
developing, expanding, operating and maintaining
the El Dorado International Airport.
It is the first airport in Latin America in cargo volume
and the third largest airport in Latin America in
passenger volume, after the International Airport of
Mexico City and the International Airport of São
Paulo-Guarulhos.
He won the Skytrax award for the best personnel in
South America in 2016, as well as the first place on
the list of the best airports in Latin America for the
second time in a row. On the other hand, in the list of
the best airports in the world, El Dorado achieved the
42nd position in the list of 2017.
A total of 42 lines arrive at the airport, discriminated
against as follows: 21 international airlines, six
domestic airlines, and 15 cargo airlines.
4 METHODOLOGY
This is empirical research, that is, based on
experimentation, to test the hypothesis that under the
evolution of the structural properties of the social
network Twitter it is possible to establish
relationships that show reputational risk.
The analysis of the structural properties of the El
Dorado Airport network (as a case study) is done by
systematizing and examining the relationships
established through Twitter, for which the
methodological design is based on the use of the
Pajek and Voswiever software for the construction of
graphs corresponding to each of the structural
properties defined for the study. All this, from the
data obtained by "crawling" (crawling) the public
access information of Twitter through the use of
application programming interfaces (APIs) whose
complexities describe Mislove et al. (2007)
extensively.
This is how to achieve the objectives of this empirical
research is carried out in three phases in the
methodological design:
a) Conceptual exploration for the identification of
reputational risk categories and structural
analysis.
ICEIS 2019 - 21st International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems
490
b) Application of an exploratory methodology to
describe the structural properties of the El
Dorado Airport's digital ecosystem.
c) Empirical evaluation of the behavior of the
network in its general interactions of the El
Dorado Airport network.
The steps to carry out the following investigation are
summarized below:
1. A network is woven to analyze it empirically,
and the social structure is explained to establish
its degree of significance and relevance for the
case study.
2. The types of account to be analyzed are found
because they are not homogeneous since they are
mixed reports of organizations with personal
accounts.
3. All friendship links are "downloaded" on Twitter
and friends are established for each of the
accounts.
4. The "mentions network" and the "hashtag
network" are established.
5. The user is chosen, and the tweets are taken, and
then each of the posts is decomposed, and the
polarity is calculated (mentions and hashtag).
6. The list of remarks and hashtag is stored; the
value of the vector is normalized. The amount of
mentions and hashtag of the moment is
accumulated in a vector per user mentioned, and
the number suggested to determine the
importance.
The normalized value is equal to:
normalized value = (ln value to normalize + 1)
/ (ln (calculated max - min calculated + 1)) *
50)
7. Each post is read and polarity is extracted
through the iSOL and CSL Caoba lexicon,
accumulating the polarity of the user. The
information is accumulated as positive, negative
and neutral.
8. Pajek files are written.
9. VOSviewer is used; According to its official
website http://www.vosviewer.com/, as a
software tool for the construction and
visualization of networks.
5 DEVELOPING
The present study was conducted during April and
May of 2018. The ecosystem of social network
accounts: 72 (Appendix)
The data collected are the following:
Table 1: Dates.
Description
Count
Follower
41826
Hashtag
65013
Mention
146922
Profile
41841
Tweets
176251
Phase 1: The study is closed for Twitter, all tweets
from the ecosystem timeline of social media accounts
were taken, and followers, hashtags and mentions at
the structural level were analyzed, showing the
density of the interconnections between the followers
of the reports of the digital ecosystem of El Dorado
Airport.
Phase 2 Polarity is defined as positive, negative and
neutral.
According to the information analyzed, the following
graphs are obtained.
Figure 1: Followers.
The graph shows how the density of the
interconnections between the followers of the digital
ecosystem accounts of the El Dorado Airport has
manifested and also suggests that the links of the
topics discussed are stable due to a large amount of
message exchang.
Analytics Applied to the Study of Reputational Risk through the Analysis of Social Networks (Twitter) for the El Dorado Airport in the City
of Bogotá (Colombia)
491
Figure 2: Degree- El Dorado Airport.
On Twitter, the nodes with the most significant
number of followers when issuing a trill, have a
higher probability of generating an impact on the
network through the simple fact of reaching a more
substantial amount of users. This impact does not
depend solely on the number of followers but the
number of responses or mentions generated as a result
of the trills of the user.
Therefore, it is evident that Air Canada, American
Air, AirFrance, Aviatur and Avianca are the ones
with the highest degree of centrality concerning the
airport in question.
Figure 3: Between Centrality - El Dorado Airport.
Nodes with high intermediation play an essential role
in the communication of the entire network.
Therefore, it is observed that the nodes that connect
more effectively within the system are again Air
Canada, American Air, AirFrance, Aviatur and
Avianca.
Figure 4: Clonnes Centrality El Dorado Airport.
The centrality by proximity determines how close a
node is to all the other nodes of the network,
establishing the importance of calculating the
distance that exists between the node with the rest of
the system and a node with greater proximity. The
graph shows great importance with Avianca and
AirFrance.
Hashtags are essential for any digital marketing
campaign that is carried out, as they can frame the
success or failure of an idea, slogan or concept of any
brand, product or organization. Outstanding
#AttendeesTravellers, #Happy Monday, #Cofee
Figure 5: Polarity Hashtag - El Dorado Airport.
When observing the polarity of "AtentosViajeros", it
is found that it is positive because it allows the users
to know the situations of the last moment of the
airport and to be attentive to the events that are
presented. When analyzing
ICEIS 2019 - 21st International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems
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#AttendeesTraveling Our Warriors of the
@FCFSeleccionCol are coming home and we are
ready to receive them. If you travel from
@BOG_ELDORADO tomorrow, keep in mind that
congestions and vials closings are planned on 26th
street from 10:00 a.m.
But for #HappyMonday it is observed that the
algorithms used are able to abstract the sarcasm since
the message is opposed to the hashtag
#HappyMonday #Holiday less for airport users the
golden one who are locked in a plane waiting for a
runway #Planretorno
The coffee for example that indicates. "I just copied
an aromatic and a cake in the airport Oma and then I
was left without the rent"
The foregoing demonstrates aspects that the Airport
did not contemplate but that its partners were
affecting their reputation.
Figure 6: Polarity of Mentions.
When carrying out the polarity analysis, for this case
a reputational risk contagion issue is observed
between the relationship of Aerocivil de Colombia
and El Dorado Airport; this was due to the fact that
situations such as the lack of light at the airport were
attributed to the airport, although it is an obligation of
Aerocivil; however, users directly related the
responsibility to El Dorado because there is no
distinction between the public of what activities each
of these entities performs.
6 CONCLUSIONS
Social networks have great potential to identify
groups of interest, know their needs, expectations,
tastes, preferences, and opinions on specific
initiatives and / or products; therefore, this type of
studies allows identifying events that can generate
reputational risk in an organization.
Currently, the volume of comments on the network is
very high, so an organization does not have the
capacity to process them manually; therefore, it is
necessary to have technological tools such as those
presented in this study, which help to automatically
transform all the opinions of interest and identify their
type of polarity (positive, negative or neutral) for
decision making.
It is possible the integration of computational
linguistic analysis with the structural analysis of
networks linking the results of the polarities
associated with the mentions and hashtag, which
allows understanding the dynamics of the reference
risk information. To the extent that actions to control
reputational risk are identified, monitored and
executed, the gap closes, and the probability that the
crisis in an organization is managed will be much
more effective.
The information contained in social networks is an
opportunity that involves new risks associated with
risks such as reputational risk. Through the SNA on
Twitter and computational linguistics, it is possible to
identify the polarity of comments and hashtag to infer
the user experience and customer satisfaction.
According to the structural analysis, foreign airlines
such as AirCanada and AirFrance are fundamental for
strategic alliances in the handling of information
since the reputation comes from third parties and
what is sought with the protection of the status is the
creation of value of an organization.
The polarity of the comments and hashtag as well as
the identification of topics at El Dorado Airport
allowed us to find aspects that the Airport was not
contemplating but that were affecting its reputation as
Analytics Applied to the Study of Reputational Risk through the Analysis of Social Networks (Twitter) for the El Dorado Airport in the City
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the coffee issue related mainly to prices and service,
which was changing his status.
In conclusion, this work contributes in the emerging
study of reputational risk through the Twitter network
is a very nascent topic in Latin America; therefore, it
should be considered as a new field of research to be
used by different organizations, since the reputation
is of the main assets intangible of a company.
For future work, the reputation risk can be supported
by supervised techniques of polarity classification,
this would help to improve the calculation of risk in
digital social networks. It has structural information
which can be integrated into the training data set as
the number of followers or the average number of
words and sentences for tweets, adding more
characteristics in the models of polarity classification.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This research was carried out by the Center of
Excellence and Appropriation in Big Data and
Data Analytics (CAOBA). It is being led by the
Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Colombia and it
was funded by the Ministry of Information
Technologies and Telecommunications of the
Republic of Colombia (MinTIC) through the
Colombian Administrative Department of Science,
Technology and Innovation (COLCIENCIAS)
within contract No. FP44842-anex46-2015.
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APPENDIX
Analyzed Digital Ecosystem Airport El Dorado
bog_eldorado
xuecafe
iemark
vivaaircolombia
aerocambiar
cambiosdorado
interjet
wingstop
aerolineas_ar
carolinaherrera
jetblue
ziropevzla
aeromexico
colsubsidio_ofi
klm
cancilleriacol
aviatur
compassgroupcol
kokoriko_col
migracioncol
aircanada
prioritypasscom
latam_co
diancolombia
aireuropaco
copaairlines
lasamigration
icacolombia
airfrance
crepeswafflesco
lufthansa
policiabogota
americanair
davivienda
unibaggage
policiaaduanera
assistcard
directvâ
mh_colombia
policiaantinar
attenzadf
worlddutyfreees
mcdonalds
aerocivilcol
avantel_sas
dunkindonuts
menziesaviation
redirecciona el
dorado
avianca
easyflyvuelos
omacolombia
invimacolombia.
elcorral_
aerolineasatena
trafficaircolom
elmarketco
spiritairlines
anatonacional
frisbylohace
starbucks
reportcolombia
ussfontibon
tame_ep
idubogota
iberia
turkishairlines
policiacolombia
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