returns, particularly those coming shortly before a
split’s announcement date, should raise strong
suspicions of insider trading, particularly in nations
with weak regulatory structures (Nguyen, Tran, and
Zeckhauser, 2017). The insider traders may exploit
the leakage of information by buying shares of
splitting firms few days before a split’s
announcement is going public, where it may cause a
sudden increase in the stock prices during that period.
On the contrary, if the insider trader also exists in
reverse split events, then hypothetically, there will be
negative abnormal returns on days before reverse
split’s announcements since the reverse splits are
considered conveying unfavorable information.
Indonesia is one of developing countries with
“adolescence” stock market, yet has excellent growth
potential, and characterized by nonsynchronous
trading, where shares of some listed firms are rarely
traded or not traded at all during a specific period.
Reverse splits in Indonesia stock market usually are
conducted by less big listed firms, which it has
nonsynchronous trading characteristic and rarely
becomes the object of studies. Since Indonesia is one
of the emerging markets, then we can assume that the
Indonesian stock market has no strong regulatory
structure. Thus it may be threatened by some illegal
trading activities.
In this paper, we conduct an event study of reverse
split events in Indonesia stock market. We are trying
to identify the stock price behavior of reverse splitting
firms by analyzing whether there are abnormal
returns during the event window—30 days prior and
30 days post the announcement date. The abnormal
returns before the announcement date may indicate
that there were illegal trading activities. On the other
hand, the abnormal returns post the announcement
date shows a market inefficiency due to the
information delay. Lastly, since reverse splits are
rarely become the object of studies, we hope that our
findings may give a significant contribution to the
reverse split event study literature, particularly in the
emerging market context.
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
Reverse splits are desperate efforts by the firms to
raise their prices high enough to meet the minimum
price required to maintain a listing on the stock
exchange (Martell and Webb, 2008). Sixty-five
percent of the firms with multiple reverse splits end
up being liquidated or delisted. If one reverse split is
a sign of desperation, then multiple reverse splits are
a sign of extreme distress (Crutchley and Swidler,
2015). Reverse split announcements are interpreted as
unfavorable information of the firm because the
manager is considered do not have any other ways to
raise the stock price, thus it results in a negative effect
on the stock returns that happened both on the
announcement date and the effective date of the
reverse splits (Woolridge and Chambers, 1983). The
further researches find negative abnormal returns
since the announcement date of reverse splits, which
continued to accumulate in the short term (Hwang,
1995) and also in the long term (Desai and Jain,
1997).
The signaling hypothesis posits that the abnormal
returns during the stock split show a signal from the
firm’s management that conveys favorable private
information about the firm’s prospects (Brennan and
Copeland, 1988). The increasing stock prices after the
split are followed by increased future dividends that
assume the firms had better performance (Fama et al.,
1969). Splitting firms yield higher earnings growth
than similar, non-splitting firms in the five years
before the split (Lakonishok and Lev, 1987).
Nevertheless, stock splits that are not followed by a
subsequent abnormal return in the long term period
show that the market is efficient (Byun and Rozeff,
2003). In reverse split cases, the signaling hypothesis
is not applicable because it is improbable the manager
would do a deliberate reverse split just to let the
public knows that the price stock is somewhat
overvalued.
The trading range hypothesis suggests that there
is an optimal trading range, and that splits realign
share prices. At the optimal trading range, the stock
will be more frequently traded and get become more
attractive to the investors. Stock splits generally occur
when stocks trade at high prices preceding the split
announcement, which is consistent with the view that
splits are typically used to realign share prices to an
average trading range (Ikenberry, Rankine, and Stice,
1996). Meanwhile, firms do a reverse split is to
increase the marketability of their stocks because the
market will consider a stock with too lower price as a
penny stock, which is speculative and less attractive,
particularly to the institutional investors (Peterson
and Peterson, 1992).
The liquidity hypothesis posits that stock splits
may improve trading continuity, alleviate liquidity
risk and give more benefit to the less liquid stocks
(Lin, Singh and Yu, 2009). A reduction in the
minimum trading unit greatly increases a firm’s base
of individual investors and its stock liquidity, and it is
associated with a significant increase in the stock
price (Amihud, Mendelson and Uno, 1999). Copeland
(1979) shows that there were increasing trading
volume following the stock splits, but not increased
proportionally to its split factor. The increasing
liquidity following the stock split may reduce the
liquidity risk and cause the split-adjusted stock price
to increase substantially. On the contrary, there is a