of m
1
is obtained as m
1
= (0.30.1)/(20.10.3) =
0.125. Hence, X
1
is uniformly distributed over
[0.125, 0.125]. Similarly, m
2
=
(0.40.1)/(20.10.4) = 0.2 so that X
2
is uniformly
distributed over [0.2, 0.2]. The expected value of
Max(X
1
, X
2
) can now be calculated using Eq. (50) as
µ =
.
(.)
+
.
= 0.05651.
Solving the system in Eqs. (39) and (41) results in
two solutions. The first has negative values for S and
Y, which is rejected. The second solution gives the
optimal production quantity Y
*
= 1600.09 1600
and the optimal shortage quantity S
*
= 100.59 100.
Then, ETCU(1600, 100) = 7801.03. The order
quantity of raw material of type 1 is U
1
= Y/(1
1
)
=1600/(10.8) = 2000. Similarly, U
2
= Y/(1
2
)
=1600/(10.75) = 2133. The expected number of
finished items produced from the raw materials
obtained during the current production cycle is E[W
c
]
= Y(1µ) = 1510. Also, the expected number of
finished items produced from the excess perfect
quality raw material kept in stock from previous
periods is E[W
p
] = E[e
1
] = E[e
2
] = µY = 90.
The expected cycle length and production period
are E[T] = 1600/100 = 16 and E[T
p
] = 1600/400 = 4.
The maximum inventory level of the finished product
is E[M] = 1600(1100/400) 100 = 1100.
5 CONCLUSION
In this paper, an economic production model that
accounts for the cost and quality of the raw materials
was presented. Also, the effects of shortages were
incorporated into the model. A mathematical model
describing this production/inventory situation was
formulated. It was shown that the optimal production
and shortage quantities that minimize the total
inventory cost per unit time function are the solution
of a system of equations derived using the
mathematical model. The total cost function was
shown to depend on the maximum of a set of n
independent random variables obtained from the
proportion of imperfect quality raw material.
A process for obtaining the probability function of
the maximum and its expected value was developed
and described. Moreover, expressions for the
probability density function and the expected value of
the maximum when the random variables are
uniformly distributed were obtained. The results were
applied to the EPQ model considered in this paper. A
numerical example illustrating the determination of
the optimal policy was presented.
This study has some limitations. Due to the
restriction on the length of the paper, uniqueness of
the optimal solution was not demonstrated nor
sensitivity analysis was performed. Also, the model
considered the producer as the decision maker and
ignored the other supply chain members. These
limitations can be tackled in future research.
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