able suspicion cannot be completely ruled out. Rea-
sonable doubt is in a way the other side of the precau-
tionary principle.
If this particular case-study can be solved eas-
ily by suitable policy choices (forbidding the use of
voting machine), for many others it is unfortunately
not possible unless important changes are made in
society, in critical or industrial infrastructures, large
scale processes, large IT systems or whatsoever sim-
ilar. Additionally, decision-makers are even more re-
luctant to adopt strong measures without challenging
huge financial interests.
As far as the security experts are concerned, this
shed a new light on the cybersecurity evaluation pro-
cess and (cyber)security risk analysis which can no
longer consider technical aspects only. Any attacker
may consider a broader view and environment to build
and drive his attack. In this respect turning the pre-
cautionary principle against the target can not only
weaken its security but also hinder its defence, reac-
tion and protection ability.
The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 first
presents the definition of standards/norms and of the
precautionary principle. We focus on their intrin-
sic differences. Section 3 then addresses the partic-
ular case of cell telephony and voting machines, on
a technical basis. Section 4 then explains how an at-
tacker could exploit the norms in the field of cell tele-
phony and the application of the precautionary prin-
ciple of voting machines. We then illustrate how to
mix those two (seemingly) different and uncorrelated
aspects with our scenario, to cause a major, political
crisis in a Western country. We will then conclude by
addressing the protection issues against that particular
risk.
2 STANDARDS, NORMS AND
THE PRECAUTIONARY
PRINCIPLE
First a technical standard is an established norm
or requirement about technical systems (Wikipedia,
2020c): “It is usually a formal document that es-
tablishes uniform engineering or technical criteria,
methods, processes and practices. In contrast, a cus-
tom, convention, company product, corporate stan-
dard, etc. which becomes generally accepted and
dominant is often called a de facto standard [...] The
standardization process may be by edict or may in-
volve the formal consensus of technical experts.” So
norms and standards do not imply security or safety
issues but are just way to make industry speak the
same voice. But since all people are working on the
same (technical) basis, it is then possible
• to know how they work, think and develop,
• to determine what they use (on the customer’s
side),
• to design a powerful attack that has the maximum
impact.
The most widely known case relates to operating sys-
tems. Microsoft Windows has de facto become some
sort of norms so does recently Apple or Google (Jen-
nings R., 2020). This is the reason why most of the
attacks are targeting Windows systems. The analysis
of the Stuxnet worm has shown that the wide use of
Siemens’ Programmable Logic Controllers (PLC) in
industry may have facilitated an attack against a large
number of industrial systems (and not only against
Iranian nuclear facilities as claimed by a large num-
ber of “experts”). The hypothesis according to which
Stuxnet attack was a targeted one only, does not hold
since it relies on a widely used system. The Stuxnet
attack is likely to be a specific instance of a larger
series of attacks. The rogue exploitation of stan-
dards/norms has been treated extensively in the liter-
ature so we will not address this case.
As for the precautionary principle is concerned,
we will use the following definition (Wikipedia,
2020a): “The precautionary principle states that if
an action or policy has a suspected risk of causing
harm to the public or to the environment, in the ab-
sence of scientific consensus that the action or policy
is harmful, the burden of proof that it is not harm-
ful falls on those taking the action [...] This princi-
ple allows policy makers to make discretionary de-
cisions in situations where there is the possibility of
harm from taking a particular course or making a
certain decision when extensive scientific knowledge
on the matter is lacking. The principle implies that
there is a social responsibility to protect the public
from exposure to harm, when scientific investigation
has found a plausible risk. These protections can
be relaxed only if further scientific findings emerge
that provide sound evidence that no harm will re-
sult.” In some legal systems, as in the law of the
European Union, the application of the precautionary
principle has been made a statutory requirement (Eu-
ropean Commission, 2000). Figure 1 illustrates the
complex decision diagram used to enforce the precau-
tionary principle. This diagram shows clearly that the
aim, this time, is to find a balance between risks and
benefits in an uncertain technological environment.
The precautionary principle is in fact the principle of
minimum risk, in a context of partial information due
to the limits of the scientific knowledge.
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