Problems and Prospects of the Financial Risk Management System
Development of Economic Entities
Julia A.
Konopleva
a
, Olga N. Pakova
b
and Svetlana V. Zenchenko
c
Finance and credit Department, North-Caucasus Federal university, Stavropol, Russia
Keywords: Types of Risks, Security, Crisis Management, SPACE Analysis, Financial Risk Profile, Rating Assessment.
Abstract: In modern macroeconomic conditions the well-being and efficiency of economic entities can be achieved
through the formation of an economic security management system, including the assessment and the
neutralization of financial risks. The significance of this component is due to the fact that financial security
affects all the main functional areas of any organization. The financial risk management plays a huge role in
ensuring the sustainable development of both individual organizations and society as a whole, so the
company's risk management issues are relevant. Based on this, the purpose of the study develop scientifically-
based recommendations for improving the management of financial risks of economic entities. The scientific
significance and novelty of the research expand and deepen the scientific understanding of the problems and
prospects of the financial risk management system development. As a result, the next most significant
scientific results: the main proposals of the financial risk management in the sustainable development of the
organization; the expediency of implementation of an adaptive risk management framework and
implementation of targeted measures; developed a system of gradual assessment of risks in the organization.
The results of the study are of applied importance which consists in substantiating methods for improving the
efficiency of risk management in organizations. The implementation of the recommendations and the
introduction of an adaptive risk management structure will reduce the threat level of their manifestation and
negative impact on the activities of economic entities.
1 INTRODUCTION
The current macroeconomic situation is characterized
by high variability of the external financial
environment and therefore the main element of
ensuring the effectiveness of the organization's
financial activities is the formation of the financial
risk management system. It lets the necessary volume
of sources of formation and attraction of financial
resources is calculated, the optimal ways of their
further use are determined and, ultimately, the level
of investment attractiveness of the organization is
ensured.
The main factors which reduce the effectiveness
of the organizations include the lack of an optimal
sound and actual financial risk management system,
fragmentary information about the market dynamics
a
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1213-8803
b
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7281-6023
c
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0850-5305
and market conditions, not the full capabilities of its
main competitors, a lack of management training.
These factors determine the need for the
formation of the financial risk management system in
the organization in the current conditions of economic
development, accompanied by the transformation of
the external financial environment, changes in its key
tasks and internal corporate goals due to the
emergence of new business projects within the main
areas of activity, as well as the transition to a new
stage of the life cycle which determines the relevance
and significance of the research topic.
452
Konopleva, J., Pakova, O. and Zenchenko, S.
Problems and Prospects of the Financial Risk Management System Development of Economic Entities.
DOI: 10.5220/0010592304520460
In Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference on Sustainable Development of Regional Infrastructure (ISSDRI 2021), pages 452-460
ISBN: 978-989-758-519-7
Copyright
c
2021 by SCITEPRESS Science and Technology Publications, Lda. All rights reserved
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
2.1 Urgency
The relevance of the research topic is due to the
increased importance of the scientifically based
approach in the management of financial risks of
economic entities.
The purpose of the research studies various
financial risks and develop evidence-based
recommendations for improving the financial risk
management of companies.
In accordance with this goal, it is necessary to
solve the following tasks:
study of the concept of risks, factors and causes
of their occurrence;
classification of financial risks;
consideration of various risk management
methodologies;
development of directions for improving the
corporate financial risk management.
2.2 Scientific Significance of the Issue
In the scientific field there is no single point of view
on the content and nature of risk, which is due to the
multidimensional nature of risks, the complexity of
their accounting in practice, as well as gaps in
legislation. The following key concepts are presented
below, which together reflect the content side of risk.
Firstly, the risk should be considered as the
probability (threat) of the economic entity losing its
share of internal resources, reducing profitability or
increasing costs from current production and
financial activities (Mamaeva L. N., 2018). This
means that the risk is associated with the possibility
of a certain adverse event or event.
Secondly, the concept of "risk" is associated with
the term "risk situation" which is expressed by the
possibility of a qualitative and quantitative
assessment of the level of probability of the
corresponding course of action. Such situation is
characterized by the following conditions:
uncertainty, necessary to choose an alternative
(including refusal to choose), as well as the right to
assess the probability of implementing the chosen
alternatives (Knight F., 2017).
Now the theory of risk management is one of the
most important components of project management,
because in almost all areas of life, people are used to
facing a lot of uncertainties. Uncertainty is a property
that is inherent in any activity of an economic entity,
since the implementation of any project is always
possible for any unforeseen results or situations
(Krysanova N. V. Pankratova M. E., Kuznetsov A.
N., 2017).
The main purpose of any company increases its
market capitalization, or its value, based on the total
value of all outstanding shares. It is obvious that any
risk is a threat of a further fall in the value of the
company, so risk management is especially important
to implementing any projects. Based on the above, the
category "risk" is used in many areas of activity, but
there is no general approach to the definition of this
term.
Risk the possibility that an unfavorable outcome
will occur.
Risk management is a purposeful and consistent
activity of the company to increase its profit and
capitalization while minimizing the consequences of
risks.
Like most scientists we believe that economic risk
arises in connection with certain activities and
manifests itself through the results of these activities.
Here are some more definitions:
Risk – a situation in which the exact result of an
economic entity's decision is unpredictable, but the
course of action is known which makes it possible to
neutralize the negative variants of its resolution
(Senchagov V. K., 2012);
Risk – the probability of losses, losses, shortfall
of planned income, profits (Higgins, R., 2013);
Risk a possible deviation of the results of the
activity of a commercial organization from those
predicted at the time of making a decision
(Teplyakova E. V., 2016).
It should be noted not only the risk of losses and
losses, but also the chance to acquire the benefits of
one of the counterparties of the transaction at the
expense of the other (Pakova, O. N. Konopleva Yu.
A., Berdanova A., 2017).
Financial risks associated with working with
financial assets, including credit, currency, interest
rate and market risks, as well as illiquidity risks
(Puchkova S. I., 2016).
Risk as the possibility of failure is an objective
category which exists independently of the will and
consciousness of people, but the risk can be
considered as a subjective category: the risk is
associated only of the threats, the existence of which
the subject is informed of the risk; therefore,
ignorance of the danger is equivalent to the absence
of risk (risk subject is the person who decides and is
responsible for the result, the risk object is defined
value which can be lost as a result of the impact of
risk) (Krui M., 2015). On the other hand, risk is
identified with possible luck (Konopleva J. A.,
Problems and Prospects of the Financial Risk Management System Development of Economic Entities
453
Zenchenko S. V., Pakova O.N., Sokolova A. A.,
2017).
Thus, the value of the information may
significantly exceed the reduction in the value of the
risk object as a result of the implementation of the
risk. We believe that all definitions of risk represent
the personal views of the authors, ranging from the
definition of risk as the probability of an unfavorable
result of a financial transaction to the definition of
risk as the uncertainty of financial results in the
future.
The most consistent among them is the statement
that risk in its primary basis is uncertainty.
A key component of the financial risk
management system in the company is the timely
identification of problems and prospects of a financial
base. In our opinion risk is a situational aspect of the
activity of a business entity which arises in the case
of making management decisions in favor of
choosing probabilistic alternatives that can
potentially generate chances of achieving the desired
goals, despite the presence of various dangers and
threats; it reflects the possibility of a negative
deviation of the actual results of the activity from the
planned ones. Accordingly hazards and threats should
be considered as risk factors and in any case should
not be identified with it itself. Therefore, it is possible
to determine the risk and its degree in a situation of
uncertainty only by one of the methods of calculating
the probability of the occurrence of negative
consequences of uncertain events. If this method fails,
the result remains uncertain. Therefore we can draw
the following conclusion, risk is the probability of
experiencing a loss of expected economic (financial)
benefits or direct losses through the occurrence of an
uncertain (accidental) event that concerns the
property interest of members of the company.
2.3 Problem Statement
A huge range of financial risks in accordance with
their classification system expands the possibilities in
the formation of a more effective system for
managing them.
As you know, the assessment of the financial
condition of the company is a system of economic
tools that characterize the availability and use of
financial resources of the company. Comprehensive
and reliable assessment of the financial situation,
reflecting the results the organization's cash flow is
the main source of information about reliability,
business activity, and competitiveness.
If risk is loss of resources or income, then there is
also a quantitative measure of them, determined by
the absolute or relative level of losses. In absolute
terms the risk can be determined by the amount of
possible losses in material or monetary terms. In
relative terms, the risk is the amount of possible
losses attributed to a certain base, which can be
understood as the property status of the entrepreneur,
or the total cost of resources for this type of business
activity, or the expected income (profit) from
entrepreneurship.
In the modern literature on crisis management, the
essence of the financial crisis is expressed through
such concepts as a tactical, strategic crisis, as well as
a crisis of solvency.
The tactical crisis is considered as a set of signs
that characterize the increasing discrepancy in the
implementation of the company main activities which
is expressed in a decrease in production volumes,
profitability and efficiency of labor resources. The
prolonged course of a tactical crisis can lead to the
development of financial instability which ultimately
leads to the transformation of the crisis into a strategic
one. Its prerequisites are the absence or weak level of
development and implementation of the strategic
development directions of the organization,
expressed in the imbalance of the management's
desire to maximize the financial results of the
business and maintain a high level of financial
stability.
A solvency crisis is the inability to make basic
payments due to a shortage of cash and non-cash
funds. This type of crisis acts as the premise of a
strategic financial crisis, and as a consequence of the
tactical crisis of the organization.
The division of the financial crisis into types
makes it possible to form and implement appropriate
measures for effective preventive and anti-crisis
management.
A financial crisis is a failure in the overall system
of functioning of the company's finances. If a crisis
financial situation persists, it could be the reason for
the occurrence of bankruptcy. In this regard, the
purpose of anti-crisis management is to develop and
implement measures to promptly improve solvency
and financial stability.
2.4 Theoretical Part
Based on the goals and principles of anti-crisis
financial management it is possible to consider the
features and mechanisms of its implementation
(Figure 1).
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Figure 1: Principles of anti-crisis financial management.
The anti-crisis management policy is a set of
mechanisms and tools for preliminary assessment of
the risks of bankruptcy and financial recovery,
contributing to the recovery from the crisis. This
means that the mechanism for implementing the anti-
crisis financial management of the organization is the
system financial flow management, based on the anti-
crisis financial strategy and the financial position of
the organization.
The tasks that need to be solved in the process of
developing and implementing a financial anti-crisis
strategy are shown in Figure 2.
Figure 2: Tasks to be solved in the process of developing
and implementing a financial anti-crisis strategy.
Thus, we can come to the logical conclusion that
the process of crisis management is based on the
creation of a clear plan for future activities, the main
characteristics of which are constant readiness for
possible instability of the financial situation of the
organization.
2.5 Practical Significance
In the process of diagnosing a pre-crisis financial
situation in an organization, there is an objective need
to develop a system of preventive measures to prevent
a financial crisis. At this stage, financial management
is transformed into weak signal management and has
a preventive nature which means constant monitoring
of the financial potential and stability of the
organization, and also, the implementation of
measures to prevent bankruptcy in the current
economic conditions.
A set of measures aimed at preventing crisis
development should be implemented proactively and
consist of the following stages:
- reducing the volume of investments in high-risk
segments of the organization's financial work;
- improvement of measures for insuring material
internal and external risks;
- partial sale of excess assets and those that do not
participate in the processes of accumulating
additional material reserves;
- restructuring of partner organizations debts, as
well as equivalent financial resources in monetary
form.
The next step is a deep and objective analysis of
the internal financial condition of the organization
and an assessment of its capabilities in order to
overcome the financial crisis. It is possible to form
appropriate tools and mechanisms within the
framework of anti-crisis financial management. Here
it is important to implement the following actions:
1. To diagnose the net cash flow received in a
crisis situation for the organization, and its volume
required to restore financial stability.
2. Perform a comprehensive analysis of the
insurance reserves of financial resources and the level
of their sufficiency in crisis conditions.
3. Identify areas where investment and operating
costs can be reduced.
Higgins R. considers insolvency as the excess of
monetary expenses over their receipt, provided that
there are insufficient reserves to eliminate the
discrepancy. This situation is called a "crisis pit",
which is accompanied by problems with repayment
accounts payable (Higgins, R., 2013). In such
circumstances, it is important to implement anti-crisis
measures to optimize the flow of financial flows to
cover the shortfalls caused by high costs and low
incomes. Measures to optimize cash flow for the
purpose of repayment of urgent and overdue debts are
shown in Figure 3.
Problems and Prospects of the Financial Risk Management System Development of Economic Entities
455
Figure 3: Measures to optimize cash flow in order to repay
urgent and overdue debts.
Summarizing the results of the study at this stage,
it can be noted that the financial risks of an
organization in the system of ensuring internal
economic security include elements that for an
individual economic entity may have different
priorities based on the nature of the existing threats.
Through accurate and timely determination of the
probability of a particular financial risk, it becomes
possible to develop an effective financial policy and
thereby ensure economic security. Implementation
plan anti-crisis financial management is a set of
mechanisms by which the impact on the financial
position of the company is carried out. This complex
can be characterized by the combination and
consistent implementation of applied methods and
tools (both preventive and anti-crisis) as part of the
mechanism of anti-crisis financial management,
which includes personnel, information, control and
anti-crisis subsystems.
3 RESULTS OF THE STUDY
Assessment of financial risks in the activities of
Russian construction industry organizations involves
structuring the assessment process into two groups:
external and internal (Table 1).
Table 1: Indicators for assessing financial risks in the
activities of economic entities.
Group Risk Approach
to
assessment
Method of
assessment
External
financial
risks
1 Currency
risk
Market
analysis
Evaluation of
the
organization's
multicurrency
activit
y
2 Credit
risk
Dynamic
analysis
Analysis of
the dynamics
of the
structure of
credit funds
in the capital
3 Market
ris
k
Strategic
anal
y
sis
SPACE
anal
y
sis
Internal
financial
risks
4 Solvency
risk
Coefficient
method
Calculation
of liquidity
indicators
5 Business
risk
Coefficient
method
Calculation
of indicators
of business
activit
y
6 Financial
stability
risk
Coefficient
method
Calculation
of financial
stability
indicators
Calculation of financial stability indicators the
assessment of each risk was carried out on a three-
point scale. The following interpretation rules were
used to translate the results of the evaluation of each
indicator into a three-point scale (Table 2).
Table 2: Rating interpretation of the results of the
assessment of financial risk indicators in the organization's
activities.
Risk Method of
assessment
3 points
(high risk
severity)
2 points
(average
risk
severit
y)
1 point
(low risk)
1
Curren
cy risk
Evaluatio
n of the
organizati
on's
multicurre
ncy
activit
y
High
multicurre
ncy
activity
Average
multicurre
ncy
activity
Low
multicurre
ncy
activity
2
Credit
risk
Analysis
of the
dynamics
of the
structure
of credit
funds in
the ca
p
ital
Positive
dynamics
of credit
funds
Unstable
dynamics
of credit
funds
Negative
dynamics
of credit
funds
3
Marke
t risk
SPACE
analysis
Getting a
priority
aggressive
strategy
Getting a
priority
competitiv
e or
defensive
strateg
y
Getting a
priority
conservati
ve
strategy
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4
Solven
cy risk
Calculatio
n of
liquidity
indicators
Most of
the
indicators
do not
meet the
standard
values
The
indicators
partially
do not
correspon
d to the
standard
values
Most of
the
indicators
correspond
to the
standard
values
5
Busine
ss risk
Calculatio
n of
indicators
of
business
activit
y
Unfavorab
le
dynamics
of
indicators
Unstable
dynamics
of
indicators
Favorable
dynamics
of
indicators
6
Financ
ial
stabilit
y risk
Calculatio
n of
financial
stability
indicators
Most of
the
indicators
do not
meet the
standard
values
The
indicators
partially
do not
correspon
d to the
standard
values
Most of
the
indicators
correspond
to the
standard
values
The maximum possible number of points that can
be obtained as a result of evaluating all six types of
financial risks is 18 points, the minimum is 6 points.
When receiving an assessment from 6 to 10 points, a
low level of severity of financial risks is stated, from
11 to 14 points-an average level, from 15 to 18 points-
a high level.
Let us consider the results of the assessment of
each identified financial risk in the activities of the
organizations under consideration
1. Currency risk
Currency risk in the system of financial risks of
economic entities demonstrates the probability of loss
of financial resources due to changes in the exchange
rate. The exposure to this risk will be determined by
the multi-currency activity of the financial and
economic operations of the organization: the higher it
is, the more pronounced the currency risk is.
According to the study, the share of financial and
economic transactions performed by the analyzed
construction companies using foreign currency is
insignificant. Therefore, we can talk about a low level
of the organization's exposure to currency risk (1
point).
2. Credit risk
To assess the credit risk, it is necessary to consider
the dynamics of credit funds in the capital of the
organization. The active use of credit funds increases
the likelihood of credit risk. Over the past three years,
there has been an unstable trend in the use of credit
funds in the capital of companies (Table 3).
Table 3: Dynamics of the use of credit funds in the
capital of construction companies
Indicator 2017 2018 2019 Deviation
2019/2017
Lon
g
-term credit facilities
Borrowed
funds,
thousand
rubles.
2 175548 300174 300172
Short-term credit facilities
Borrowed
funds,
thousand
rubles.
447926 447213 477502 29576
The severity of the credit risk of the organization,
based on the activity of using credit funds, is average
(2 points).
3. Market risk
To assess market risk, we use the SPACE analysis
method, which allows us to assess the market
situation from four sides:
- the financial potential (strength) of the
organization (FS);
- the competitiveness of the organization (KP);
- the attractiveness of the industry (PO);
– stability of the industry (WITH).
The results of the company's SPACE Analysis
score are presented in Table 4.
Table 4: Results of the SPACE analysis of the
microeconomic environment of the construction company.
Criteria Evaluation Weight Generalized
score score
Financial stren
th of the or
anization
FS
Return on
investment
5 0,8 4,0
Financial
autonom
y
5 0,8 4,0
Solvency of the
or
g
anization
6 1,0 6,0
The level of
financial ris
k
4 0,5 2,0
General evaluation of the criterion 16,0
Com
p
etitiveness of the com
p
an
y
(
СС
)
Return on sales 5 0,6 3,0
Market share 5 0,1 0,5
The
competitiveness
of the services
4 0,1 0,4
Customer
loyalt
y
6 1,0 6,0
Product qualit
y
6 0,9 5,4
General evaluation of the criterion 15,3
Attractiveness of the industr
y
(
AI
)
Profit level 6 0,8 4,8
Stage of the
industry life
cycle
5 0,8 4,0
Problems and Prospects of the Financial Risk Management System Development of Economic Entities
457
The
development of
the industr
y
6 0,8 4,8
Ease of market
entr
y
5 1,0 5,0
General evaluation of the criterion 18,6
Stability of the industry (SI)
The stability of
earnin
g
s
6 0,8 4,8
Development of
innovations
5 0,5 2,5
Marketing
opportunities
5 0,5 2,5
General evaluation of the criterion 9,8
Based on the results of the general assessments of
the key criteria, the vector of the recommended
strategy for the development of the organization is
built in the SPACE coordinate system. The beginning
of the vector is at the point of origin, the end of the
vector is at the point " A " with the coordinates (X: Y)
shown in Figure 4:
X = PO-KP (1)
Х = 18,6 – 15,3 = 3,3;
Y = FS-SO (2)
У = 16,0 – 9,8 = 6,2.
Figure 4: SPACE Analysis matrix.
The obtained result of the SPACE analysis
indicates the feasibility of implementing an
aggressive market strategy, therefore, the market risk
is estimated at 3 points.
We summarize the results of the assessment for
each considered financial risk (Table 5).
Table 5: Results of the evaluation of financial risks
Risk Com
p
an
y
#1 Com
p
an
y
#2 Com
p
an
y
#3
co
re
Status S
c
o
r
e
Status S
c
o
r
e
Status
1
Currency
ris
k
1 Low
risk
1 Low risk 1 Low
risk
2 Credit
risk
2 Average
risk
level
2 Average
risk level
2 Averag
e risk
level
3 Market
risk
3 High
level of
ris
k
2 High
level of
ris
k
3 High
level of
ris
k
4
Solvency
ris
k
1 Low
risk
1 Low risk 1 Low
risk
5 Business
risk
3 High
level of
ris
k
2 High
level of
ris
k
2 High
level of
ris
k
6 Financial
stability
ris
k
1 Low
risk
1 Low risk 1 Low
risk
Total 11 Average
risk
level
9 Average
risk level
10 Averag
e risk
level
The obtained values, equal to 9-11 points,
correspond to the average level of severity of
financial risks in the activities of the considered
organizations. The most pronounced are market risk
and business activity risk (Figure 5).
Figure 5: Financial risk profile.
Thus, the results of the assessment of financial
risks in the activities of the organizations under
consideration characterize their average level of
severity, which updates the assessment of the
effectiveness of the current financial risk
management system of the organization.
4 DISCUSSION OF THE
RESULTS
In order to improve the scientific level of financial
risk management of the organization, it is advisable
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to develop a system of recommendations and
proposals.
The conducted assessment of the financial risks
and the assessment of the effectiveness of the current
financial risk management system have determined
the feasibility of improving the management
activities of economic entities in this area. In this
context of the study, the concept of a more optimal
management system is formed the main directions of
which are shown in Figure 6
.
Figure 6: Directions for managing the organization's
financial risks.
Thus, the proposed financial risk management
system for a construction company is a complex
mechanism that contains diagnostic, management and
control functions. For the company's management,
their practical use will provide an opportunity to
quickly identify financial risks, plan funds for their
elimination, as well as conduct preventive control and
prevention of financial risks. The technology of
implementation of the proposed system will allow
you to perform the established sequence of
management, which, ultimately, will ensure the
effective application of its provisions by the
management of the organization.
It is necessary to implement the proposed
financial risk management system in the organization
described in table 6.
Table 6: Recommendations for improving the financial risk
management system
Recommendations Description
Creation of a
financial risk
management unit in
the structure of the
finance department
It is proposed to allocate a
financial risk management unit
in the structure of the finance
department consisting of 2
specialists, the first of whom
will be responsible for
monitoring and evaluating
financial risks, the second-for
planning and monitoring the
implementation of measures to
reduce financial
r
isks
Regulation of the
new financial risk
management policy
It is advisable to regulate the
implementation of the
proposed financial risk
management system by
creating a special document
describing the new financial
risk management polic
y
External audit of
financial risks
The organization is
recommended to conduct an
external audit of financial risks
at the initial stage of
implementation of the
proposed financial risk
management system due to the
lack of competence of full-time
specialists
5 CONCLUSIONS
At the theoretical stage of the research, the tasks
related to the definition of the essence of financial
risks and approaches to their assessment in the
activities of modern companies were solved. The
analysis of the scientific literature has shown that
financial risks arise in connection with the movement
of financial flows and are manifested mainly in the
financial resources markets. Financial risks
significantly affect the efficiency of business entities.
At the same time, financial risks are amenable not
only to accounting, but also to management. For the
purposes of risk measurement, it is necessary to
initially investigate all possible risks, identify them
and classify them.
The structure of the financial risks assessment
were divided into two groups: external (currency,
credit, market) and internal (risk of solvency,
business activity, financial stability). The analysis
showed compliance with the average level of
financial risks in the activities of construction
companies. The most pronounced are market risk and
business activity risk.
The concept of an effective financial risk
management system is formulated, which will allow
to quickly identify (diagnose) financial risks in the
management of the organization, to develop measures
to eliminate the identified financial risks, to
implement subsequent control of the prevention and
correction of financial risks.
Thus, the purpose of the study was achieved due
to the solution of all the tasks set.
Problems and Prospects of the Financial Risk Management System Development of Economic Entities
459
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