In addition, the COVID-19 pandemic is estimated
to increase the annual funding deficit by $ 30-45
billion, with a baseline of $ 148 billion. In this case,
the adoption of strategic measures could also reduce
this increase by $ 5-25 billion. The deepening of the
funding deficit is due not only to an increase in the
need for additional funding (which, in turn, depends
on the development of the epidemiological situation,
economic trends and policy decisions), but also on the
indicators of public spending on education (that, in
the current cost calculation model, are linked to
assumptions about economic growth, tax rates and the
level of priority of education).
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to an additional
increase in the costs of implementing SDG 4. This is
also due to the fact that hundreds of millions of
students have not been able to use distance learning
technologies.
According to a joint study by UNESCO, UNICEF
and the World Bank, at least 463 million (or 31%)
students in low-income and lower-middle-income
countries were not enrolled in distance learning. In
this regard, measures will be required to restore
partially lost knowledge and skills. An increase in the
duration of the educational institutions closure leads
to an additional increase in the funding gap for SDG
4.
In addition, there is a high probability that
families experiencing serious financial difficulties
may decide to stop their children's schooling. The
World Bank estimates that 6.8 million primary and
secondary school students are likely to end their
studies early. According to UNESCO, about 11
million children may not return to school.
During the COVID-19 crisis, approximately 40
per cent of the poorest countries were unable to
support at-risk students (IIEP-UNESCO, 2020), and
past experience shows that both educational
inequalities and gender inequalities tend to be ignored
when responding to disease outbreaks (United
Nations, 2020). Due to household chores and the need
to run a household or participate in agricultural work,
children, and especially girls, may not have enough
time to study. The problems of disabled children, who
were still marginalized before the outbreak, are not
always taken into account in the development of
distance learning strategies (European Commission,
2020).
Refugee and forcibly displaced children are even
more vulnerable and are denied access to support
services offered in schools, such as school nutrition
and psychosocial support programs.
Students who lack sufficient digital skills and are
least likely to have access to the hardware and
communications needed for distance learning during
school closures are the most disadvantaged. Of the 21
European countries surveyed, in half of the countries,
fourth-grade students from lower socio-economic
backgrounds were half as likely to access the Internet
as their more privileged peers (UNESCO, GEM
Report, 2020). In 7 low-income countries, less than
10 percent of the poorest households have electricity.
These include the Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Kiribati,
Ivory Coast, Lesotho, Mauritania and Sudan.
Many students in developing countries, especially
primary and minority students, have poor command
of the teaching language (UNICEF, 2020). Even if
they were provided with materials that they could
understand, due to aspects such as home conditions,
economic difficulties, and parents lack of literacy
(including digital skills), many children could not rely
on the stable environment and learning support they
needed to adapt to new ways of acquiring knowledge.
In most European countries, children from the least
socially and economically prosperous families often
do not have the opportunity to spend time reading,
study in a quiet room, and enjoy parental support
when schools are closed. In both low-income and
upper-middle-income countries, children from the
poorest families receive significantly less help with
homework (Save Our Future, 2020).
4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Thus, in order to recover from the pandemic and
return to the implementation of SDG 4, UNESCO
recommends that Governments take additional
organizational and financial measures in 2021 to:
Restore the knowledge lost by students during
the closure of schools;
Maintaining the student-teacher ratio at an
optimal level;
Compliance with sanitary requirements,
physical distancing measures;
Education popularization, continuing
education motivation;
Distance education technologies development.
According to UNESCO, the additional costs
resulting from the closure of schools due to COVID-
19 could increase the funding deficit for SDG 4 by
almost a third. However, the immediate
implementation of programs aimed at restoring the
knowledge and skills lost by students, as well as their
return to school, could reduce the amount of
additional costs by at least 75%.
At the international level, to address the
challenges of achieving SDG 4 in the context of the