ARIMA Modeling for Prediction of Inorganic Chemical Pollution in the Kalitambong Watershed, Bondowoso Regency

Rizza Wijaya, Budi Hariono

2021

Abstract

T DAS (Watershed Area) is a part of land that includes rivers and their derivatives which function as storage, reservoirs, and one of the media for the flow of water from rain to lakes and seas. The Kalitambong watershed is included in the Bondowoso Regency, East Java. Kalitambong watershed is located on the border of Bondowoso Regency and Banyuwangi Regency, precisely in Kabat District which has an area of 184,779,139.38 m2 or 184,779 km2. This research was conducted to predict the contamination contained in the Kalitambong watershed, especially on the parameters of chemical-inorganic contamination with ARIMA model. The result of this study is that the best ARIMA model for ARIMA pH parameter (3,0,0) with AIC value of 51.63 and RMSE 0.581. The best model BOD parameter is ARIMA (2,0,0) with AIC value of 42.7 and RMSE 2.928. The best model COD parameter is ARIMA (0,2,1) with AIC of 34.7 and RMSE .,918. The DO parameters of the best model are ARIMA (0,1,0) with AIC and RMSE of 13.24 and 0.46. Total phosphate parameters with ARIMA model (0,1,0) with AIC value of 42.7 and RMSE of 2.92.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Wijaya R. and Hariono B. (2021). ARIMA Modeling for Prediction of Inorganic Chemical Pollution in the Kalitambong Watershed, Bondowoso Regency. In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Applied Science and Technology on Engineering Science - Volume 1: iCAST-ES, ISBN 978-989-758-615-6, pages 102-108. DOI: 10.5220/0010940700003260

in Bibtex Style

@conference{icast-es21,
author={Rizza Wijaya and Budi Hariono},
title={ARIMA Modeling for Prediction of Inorganic Chemical Pollution in the Kalitambong Watershed, Bondowoso Regency},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Applied Science and Technology on Engineering Science - Volume 1: iCAST-ES,},
year={2021},
pages={102-108},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0010940700003260},
isbn={978-989-758-615-6},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Applied Science and Technology on Engineering Science - Volume 1: iCAST-ES,
TI - ARIMA Modeling for Prediction of Inorganic Chemical Pollution in the Kalitambong Watershed, Bondowoso Regency
SN - 978-989-758-615-6
AU - Wijaya R.
AU - Hariono B.
PY - 2021
SP - 102
EP - 108
DO - 10.5220/0010940700003260