The First and Second Derivative Analysis of the Daily Cumulative Coronavirus Disease 2019 Cases in Representative European Countries

Liyan Lou

2021

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019(Covid-19) had spread all around the world in 2020. For most countries, their epidemic was still not stable. This study would analyze the epidemic of England and Ireland from different aspects to find the reason for which their infection numbers are still increasing. Moreover, this study would analyze them from three distinct geological strata, which are England, Ireland, and all countries in the Europe. The author uses the first and second derivative graph of cumulative confirmed cases from June 1st 2021 to August 3rd 2021. The data were collected from official websites that report daily confirmed cases. Moreover, the author analyzes three different strata (England, Ireland, and all countries in the Europe). There are 5929786 cumulative cases in England, 305527 cases in Ireland and 51805897 cases in all European countries until August 3rd, the change of F’’(x) in England and all European countries could be demonstrated in three periods: Stable Period, Acceleration Period and Deceleration Period. Furthermore, the Ireland’s epidemic only contained two Periods, which were Stable Period and Acceleration Period. The Acceleration Period could reveal the relaxation of restriction, which increased the number of confirmed cases, in both Ireland and England. Connecting to the local policy, the further vaccination that took place in England help them reduce the Acceleration rate of confirmed cases.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Lou L. (2021). The First and Second Derivative Analysis of the Daily Cumulative Coronavirus Disease 2019 Cases in Representative European Countries. In Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Public Management and Big Data Analysis - Volume 1: PMBDA, ISBN 978-989-758-589-0, pages 288-293. DOI: 10.5220/0011343400003437

in Bibtex Style

@conference{pmbda21,
author={Liyan Lou},
title={The First and Second Derivative Analysis of the Daily Cumulative Coronavirus Disease 2019 Cases in Representative European Countries},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Public Management and Big Data Analysis - Volume 1: PMBDA,},
year={2021},
pages={288-293},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0011343400003437},
isbn={978-989-758-589-0},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Public Management and Big Data Analysis - Volume 1: PMBDA,
TI - The First and Second Derivative Analysis of the Daily Cumulative Coronavirus Disease 2019 Cases in Representative European Countries
SN - 978-989-758-589-0
AU - Lou L.
PY - 2021
SP - 288
EP - 293
DO - 10.5220/0011343400003437