was found that the function that consisted of 10
features derived the lowest average error, of only
4.11% in estimating the deflection of 15 out-of-
sample data points, while the model with 40 features
resulted in the largest error of 13.05%. This is a
numerical phenomenon that is usually attributed to
overfitting during the training and testing procedure.
The proposed formula used to estimate the
deflections that consisted of 10 terms can be seen in
Equation 1. The various independent variables are E
which is the Young’s modulus in GPa, L is the curved
length of the beam in metres, A is the section area in
mm
2
, f
y
is the yielding stress, I
xx
is the second moment
of area about the strong axis in mm
4
and Q is the
percentage of ultimate loading applied on the beam as
a number (50% = 50). The resulting deflection from
the formula is in mm.
𝐷𝑒𝑓𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = 1.08128 ∗ 10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝐿 − 8.41124
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝐿 ∗ 𝐴 − 9.81969
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝐸 ∗ 𝑅 + 1.82604
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝑅 ∗ 𝑅 − 2.71029
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝑅 ∗ 𝐿 + 6.22991
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝐿 ∗ 𝐿 + 2.55963
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝐿 ∗ 𝐼𝑥𝑥 + 2.99150
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝑓𝑦 + 4.19580
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝑓𝑦 ∗ 𝑓𝑦 − 1.07754
∗10
∗ 𝑄 ∗ 𝐸 ∗ 𝐿 − 8.95792
∗10
(1)
5 CONCLUSIONS
A formula was successfully developed for the
prediction of the deflection of curved steel I-beams.
When comparing the proposed formula with the out-
of-sample data, it was found that the formula
containing 10 features was the most accurate, having
an average error of 4.11%, while the formula with 40
features was the least accurate having an error of
13.05%. The lack of accuracy in the 40 feature
equation was attributed to an over-fitting
phenomenon but can also be attributed to another
phenomenon known as the “interaction effect”, which
can greatly increase the effect of the independent
variables on the dependent variable.
Based on the parametric and sensitivity
investigation, it was concluded that the variables with
the largest impact on deflection are the curved length
and radius of the beams. Due to the page limitations
of this manuscript, the results of the in-depth
sensitivity analysis could not be shared, however,
these will be published at a later stage. Even though
the results of this study are positive seeing as very low
error metrics were observed, the study has to be
expanded in the future by developing additional
models with a larger spectrum in terms of geometries.
Various boundary conditions, as well as different
yield strengths of steel, will also be considered.
Experimental curved steel I-beams will also be tested
to validate the proposed formula developed in this
study. Future research work will foresee the
development of similar formulae on curved concrete
beams. Finally, the long-run objective is to develop
machine learning models that will be able to evaluate
the response of full scale-structures
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