on the threshold of irrigation water demand from the
perspective of meteorological factors is still scarce.
This will bring adverse effects on the promotion and
implementation of the strictest water resources
management system and the scientific planning of
the development of the irrigation area. Based on the
meteorological data of Huibei Water Conservancy
Experimental Station from 1999 to 2019, the
dynamic threshold of crop water demand and
irrigation water demand of winter wheat, summer
corn and cotton in the whole growth period of
Sanyizhai Irrigated Area was predicted from the
perspective of the change range of meteorological
index. Thus the data foundation and technical
support are provided for the conservation and
intensive utilization of water resources and high-
quality development in Yellow River irrigation area.
2 REGIONAL OVERVIEW AND
DATA SOURCES
The water intake of Yellow River Sanyizhai
Irrigation Area in Henan Province is located in
Lankao County, Kaifeng City. The total land area of
the irrigation area is 4 344.2 km2, and the total
arable land area is 270,000 hm2, as shown in Fig.1
(FENG 2019). At present, the water diversion
capacity of the irrigation area is about 150 m3/s, and
the effective irrigation areas are Kaifeng County,
Lankao County and Qi County in Kaifeng City, and
Minquan County, Ningling County, Suiyang
District, Liangyuan District, Sui County and
Yucheng County in Shangqiu City, involving a total
of 9 counties (districts) in the two regions (FENG
2017). Meteorological data adopted in this study
were all from Huibei science Experimental Station
of Eastern Henan Water Conservancy Engineering
Administration in Henan Province. The geographical
location of this station was 114º31 'E and 34º46' N,
representing the Yellow River Sanyizhai Irrigation
Area in Kaifeng City, Henan Province. The daily
and daily surface meteorological observation data of
this station from 1999 to 2019 were selected.
Including precipitation (X1), water surface
evaporation (X2), average temperature (X3),
maximum temperature (X4), minimum temperature
(X5), air relative humidity (X6), sunshine duration
(X7), maximum sunshine duration (X8), average
wind speed (X9) and nearly 100,000 data.
Figure 1: Map of Yellow River Sanyizhai Irrigation Area.
3 METEOROLOGICAL INDEX
AND CHANGE THRESHOLD
3.1 Winter Wheat Meteorological
Index and Its Change Threshold
According to the previous research results, the
regression equation of winter wheat with 9
meteorological factors can predict crop water
demand more accurately. Based on 756 sets of 10-
day meteorological data from 1999 to 2019, through
path analysis of winter wheat crop water demand in
Yellow River Sanyizhai Irrigation Area, it can be
seen that the four meteorological factors with the
greatest influence are: Ten-day average temperature
(X3), ten-day maximum temperature (X4), ten-day
sunshine hours (X7), ten-day average wind speed
(X9). Therefore, the above four factors are selected
as representative factors, and the winter wheat
meteorological index is calculated as follows:
𝐹
0.25∗
̄
̄
0.25 ∗
̄
̄
0.25 ∗
̄
̄
0.25∗
̄
̄
∗ 100%
(1)
In the formula:𝐹
, winter wheat
meteorological index in Sanyizhai; X3 ,𝑥̄
are ten-
day average measured temperature, annual average,
℃; X4, 𝑥̄
are ten-day maximum temperature
measured, annual average, ℃; X7,𝑥̄
are measured
value of ten-day sunshine hours, annual average
value, h; X9, 𝑥̄
are ten-day average wind speed
measured annual average m/s.
According to the change multiples of maximum,
minimum and mean values of four meteorological
factors during 1999-2019, four ranges of slight
change, weak change, strong change and strong
change were determined. The threshold range of
slight change was -10% to 10%, weak change was -
30% to 30%, and strong change was -50% to 50%.
The threshold value of the change amplitude
developed by the time process is shown in Fig.2, and
the threshold range of different change amplitude is
shown in Table 1.