Modelling of Ecological Development of the Country on the Basis of Cognitive Maps

Nadiia Shmygol, Oksana Yelisyeyeva, Adam Kałowski, Nataliia Soloviova, Tеtіana Pulina

2022

Abstract

The article substantiates the use of cognitive modeling as a method of situational management, which makes it possible to describe an object and the laws of its functioning, to develop a mathematical model as close as possible to a real situation. Situational management involves collecting, accumulating, monitoring information, analyzing, and modeling situations, choosing the best development scenarios, and graphically presenting the results obtained. The basis of cognitive modeling is the construction of cognitive maps of the investigated system. The cognitive model, formally represented as an oriented sign graph, describes expert knowledge of the laws of development and properties of the analyzed situation and reflects the strengths of causation and the values of factors in the cognitive map. The paper substantiates the use of simulation modeling to analyze the situation of the environmental state with respect to further development of the economic system based on sustainable development. Three possible scenarios of environmental development to improve the ecological situation in Ukraine are analyzed based on impulse modeling. It has been proven that the maximum effect can be achieved if the third management scenario is adopted. According to this scenario, a system of environmental monitoring and environmental insurance should be introduced, environmental legislation should be improved, alternative energy sources should be used, the systems for cleaning emissions and discharges should be improved, and waste accumulation should be reduced.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Shmygol N., Yelisyeyeva O., Kałowski A., Soloviova N. and Pulina T. (2022). Modelling of Ecological Development of the Country on the Basis of Cognitive Maps. In Proceedings of the 5th International Scientific Congress Society of Ambient Intelligence - Volume 1: ISC SAI, ISBN 978-989-758-600-2, pages 14-24. DOI: 10.5220/0011340500003350

in Bibtex Style

@conference{isc sai22,
author={Nadiia Shmygol and Oksana Yelisyeyeva and Adam Kałowski and Nataliia Soloviova and Tеtіana Pulina},
title={Modelling of Ecological Development of the Country on the Basis of Cognitive Maps},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 5th International Scientific Congress Society of Ambient Intelligence - Volume 1: ISC SAI,},
year={2022},
pages={14-24},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0011340500003350},
isbn={978-989-758-600-2},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 5th International Scientific Congress Society of Ambient Intelligence - Volume 1: ISC SAI,
TI - Modelling of Ecological Development of the Country on the Basis of Cognitive Maps
SN - 978-989-758-600-2
AU - Shmygol N.
AU - Yelisyeyeva O.
AU - Kałowski A.
AU - Soloviova N.
AU - Pulina T.
PY - 2022
SP - 14
EP - 24
DO - 10.5220/0011340500003350