Mitigation is done to minimize or to reduce the
possible impacts of a disaster. Therefore, mitigation
can reduce and/or eliminate victims and losses that
may arise. Mitigation must be carried out for all types
of disasters, both those included in natural and man-
made disaster, including oil spills.
In order to prevent and mitigate the risk of oil
spills in the Cilacap coastal area, this study aims to
simulate an oil spill under different environmental
conditions that will provide predictive distribution of
oil when spilled in the Cilacap coastal areas. The
results of the analysis are expected to minimize the
impact, both environmental and socio-economic
impact, that will be caused by oil spill.
2 METHODS
2.1 Simulation Model
In order to estimate the distribution of oil spills in
Cilacap coastal areas, MoTuM (Modul Tumpahan
Minyak) developed by Muin was used. This software
is used to simulate hydrodynamics and the movement
of oil spilled in open seas, straits, bays, or estuaries.
The software generates a series of outputs after the
simulation: the hydrodynamic model, the spread of
oil particles and thickness/oil concentration (fates and
trajectory model), the probability of the stochastic
model, and the probability of the location of oil
pollution sources (receptors model).
MoTuM uses the methodology of combining the
Three-Dimensional Model of Non-Orthogonal
Hydrodinamic Curvilinear Coordinat Technique and
the Oil Spill Model. Hydrodynamics model is based
on tides, current and wind databases. This model is
able to simulate the pattern of three-dimensional
ocean currents due to tides, wind, density, and
influence of rivers. Model applications have been
carried out in several locations such as Fundy Bay
(Canada), Narraganset Bay and Savannah River
(United States), and Ajkwa (PT Freeport Indonesia).
2.2 Model Input Parameters
Data input used in the hydrodynamic model is
bathymetric map, tides, wind speed and direction,
eddy viscosity value, and seabed roughness
coefficient. Bathymetry data from the study area were
obtained from the Pushidrosal (Hydrography and
Oceanography Center, Indonesian Navy). Tidal data
used in this study are the tidal constituent at the
Cilacap Tidal Station from Geospatial Information
Agency with Formzahl number 0.3436, which
indicates that mixed tides, prevailing semidiurnal, are
predominant in the Cilacap coastal areas. Wind data,
in the form of direction and speed, used were 2010
wind data that were obtained from Meteorological,
Climatological, and Geophysical Agency.
In this study, it was assumed that eddy viscosity
was considered constant, 1 m2/s and 0.001 m2/s for
horizontal and vertical direction, respectively. This
parameter is not a fluid property but flow property so
that the value is very dependent on the current and
roughness of the seabed (Muin, 2005). The average
value of seabed roughness coefficient, which is
commonly used in the application of marine
hydrodynamic models, ranges from 0.001 to 0.005.
Therefore, the value of 0.002 was adapted in this
study.
Furthermore, the oil spill model requires a series
of parameters of different kind. Some of the spill
parameters required are geographical coordinates of
the spill, type and quantity of the spill. In addition,
environmental parameters are also included, i.e., eddy
diffusivity, temperature of the sea and air, and
sediment concentration.
The location of the oil spill is 109˚02'57.9" and
07˚45'09" in longitude and latitude, respectively,
referring to the location of the King Fisher oil spill
that occurred in the Cilacap coastal area in 2000
(Figure 1). The simulation was done with a volume of
2,500 tonnes of crude oil in 12-month period, from
January to December. The value of 2,500 tonnes was
chosen based on the average volume data of oil spills
that occurred in Indonesia.
Figure 1. The location of the King Fisher spill
In this study, eddy diffusivity value is determined
at 100 m2/s which is the value of the diffusion
coefficient for the open bay (Joseph, et al., 1998 in
Butyliastri, 2009). Sea water temperature in the
simulation was 27˚C (BAPPEDA Cilacap &