Performance of Value Added, Stock Market Liquidity to
Stock Return of Manufacturing in IDX
Ristati
1
,
Nada Putri
1
, Mahdawi
2
, Ghazali Syamni
1
, and Nurlela
1
1
Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Malikussaleh, Indonesia
2
Master of Economic, Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Trisakti, Indonesia
mahdawi1601@gmail.com,syamni_ghazali@yahoo.com,
nurlela_se_msi@yahoo.com
Abstract. Stock returns is the motivation of investors to transact shares. Stock
returns on the company determined many factors that influence it. One of the
factors that influence stock returns is related to the concept of added value.
Then, the purpose of this study is to analyze the added value of economic
(EVA) and social added value (MVA) and stock market liquidity (SML). The
data used in this study is financial statement data on manufacturing companies
listed on the IDX. This study uses panel data regression and in processing it
using evievs. The results of the study find that EVA has a negative effect on
companies and MVA and SML have positive effect on the performance of
shares to the public.
Keywords: Performance ꞏ EVA ꞏ MVA ꞏ SML ꞏ IDX
1 Introduction
Company’s value is one of the performance indicators that must be achieved by
company’s managers to prosper shareholders beside other performances. The
company company’s value is reflected in improvement of stock prices having
prospect to improve returns gained investors. Return is profits received by the
candidates for the amount of funds that have been invested and it becomes their
dream [1].
Today, investors not only consider the accounting performance but also feel the
importance of understanding concept of other economic profits to choose stock
returns [2]. Therefore, the prospective investors try to use various ways to know the
company’s performance that is its investment target, which is the concept of
economic value added (EVA) [3]. [4] and [5] mention EVA as a way of analyzing
company’s performance from the capital invested and how much returns they can
earn. According to [6] and [7], EVA is more predictive than return on assets and
return on equity.
Apart from EVA, to use market value added (MVA) is more interesting thing for
shareholders to financial performance. EVA is used to measure the company's internal
performance in providing prosperity, while MVA is used to measure external or
market performance [8]. According to [9], MVA is an analysis that is more likely to
look at the value of market performance since market value cannot be seen from
Ristati, ., Putri, N., Mahdawi, ., Syamni, G. and Nurlela, .
Performance of Value Added, Stock Market Liquidity to Stock Return of Manufacturing in IDX.
DOI: 10.5220/0010609200002900
In Proceedings of the 20th Malaysia Indonesia International Conference on Economics, Management and Accounting (MIICEMA 2019), pages 911-915
ISBN: 978-989-758-582-1; ISSN: 2655-9064
Copyright
c
2022 by SCITEPRESS Science and Technology Publications, Lda. All r ights reserved
911
accounting performance. Hence, it can be concluded that EVA analyzes economic
value creation and MVA predicts the expectations of shareholders in the future.
Furthermore, when the market condition has an improvement, EVA is marked by
increasingly liquid markets. In the other words, a market having good performance
contributes to the issuer of the stock to produce a good return as well. [10] explain
stock market liquidity as a condition facilitating trade. [11] define market liquidity in
which trading conditions exchange easily.
Several empirical studies show mixed results. [12] say EVA and MVA affect to
changes in stock values. [1] conduct a research in Pakistan, they find there is no
enough evidence of EVA affecting returns. [7] states EVA does not provide great
enough evidence as a good measure in term of predicting returns. [11] finds market
liquidity has a negative impact in long term and positive effect in the long term. [13]
say there is a relationship between market liquid and stock returns. [14] explain that
there is a return relation behavior in government and private shares. However,
government shares are slightly larger. But, it economically is less relevance to
connect with market liquidity.
Some studies in Indonesia highlight different results as well. Research conducted
by[15] in automotive companies show EVA does not affect stock returns. [16] who
conduct research in the agricultural sector find EVA and MVA do not affect stock
returns. [17] who examine sharia shares show EVA has a positive effect on stock
prices. [18] investigating mining and gas companies find EVA and MVA show a
positive effect on firm value. The same case is also found [19] who conclude that
MVA has a positive effect on stock returns.
Based on the aforementioned literature and empirical reviews show there is an
inconsistency in the results on this research topic. The purpose of this study,
therefore, is to examine the effect of EVA, MVA and stock market liquidity on the
IDX.
2 Data and Method
This research is conducted at manufacturing companies listed on the IDX. The data
used are financial statement documentation and stock price reports about stock
information and profit and loss statements for the 2014-2017 period through the
official IDX site. This study uses 67 manufacturing companies which have data.
Hence the number of observations is 268.
This study uses panel data, so that the approach taken is in accordance with the
panel regression model. Therefore, the model of this research is: SR
it
= α + β
1
EVA
it
+
β
2
MVA
it
+ β
3
SML
it
+ e
it
, where; Y; Dependent variable Stock Return; α; Constants,
β1, β2, β3: regression coefficients, β1, β2, β3; EVA; MVA; and SML; e: error.
3 Result
In this section, the classic assumption test and research results are discussed. The
classic assumption test is performed to test the regression model whether it has met
requirements or not provided biased results. The test results can be seen in table 1
MIICEMA 2019 - Malaysia Indonesia International Conference on Economics Management and Accounting
912
below:
Table 1. Results of classic assumption tests and research results.
Jarque Berra Test : 0.1431 Prob. 0.9309
White Heteroscedasticit
y
Test: Obs*R-squared= 0.4314 Prob. 0.5119
Breusch-Godfre
y
Serial Correlation LM Test: 1.6562 Prob. 0.4369
Variables
Matrix Correlation
SR EVA MVA SML
SR 1.0000 - - - -
EVA 0.0341 1.0000 - - -
MVA 0.2037*** 0.3487*** 1.000 1.000 -
SML 0.2537*** 0.2261*** 0.5011*** -
The given table 1 depicts the panel regression model in this study has been free from
the classic assumption matters. Normality test for data using the Jarque-Berra test
shows a value of 0.1431 with a probability value of 0.9309 and not significant at the
level of5%. Hence, the data used in this study has been normal. In addition, the
results of heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, and multicollinearity tests provide
results that are free from the three tests. Heteroscedasticity test using White
Heteroscedasticity Test has the value of Obs * R-squared = 0.4314 with a probability
of 0.5119. The test result can be concluded that the model is free heteroscedasticity
or the data has been homoscedasticity. Furthermore, the autocorrelation test which
examined using the Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test finds a value of
1.6562 with a probability of 0.4369, which is not significant at the level of 5%. In
brief, the data in this study do not occur aoutocorrelation. Also, the same case
applies to the multicollinearity test taken from the results of the correlation matrix
test showing all variables that do not have a correlation value > 0.80%. So, the model
is also free from the multicollinearity problem.
Furthermore, in choosing the best model used in this study, a fixed effect model
is chosen. This is indicated by the Hausman test which is significant at the 1 percent
level. The Hausman test is carried out if testing with the Chow test which also shows
a significant value that is the two significant at the level of 1 %. The Chow test value
is 66, which is 1% significant and the hausman test with a value of 3 which is also
significant at the level of 1%.
Based on the classical assumption test and the Chow and the Hausman tests, the
model in this study is as follows: SR = -0.9804 +0.1064 EVA* +0.2952 MVA*** +
0.2687 *** SML.
Variables
Result Estimation
Coefficient
Std.
Deviation
t.statistic t.tabel
F.
statistic
F
.table
C -0.9804 1.1056 -0.8868
Lo
g
(EVA) -0.1064 0.0469 -2.2653*
Lo
g
(MVA) 0.2952 0.0886 3.3313*** 1.650 1.9795***
Lo
g
(SML) 0.2687 0.0802 3.3508***
R-squared: 0.4082
Chow Tes
t
: 66***
Hausman Tes
t
: 3***
Performance of Value Added, Stock Market Liquidity to Stock Return of Manufacturing in IDX
913
From the research equation model, it can be explained that the negative constant
value is 0.9804, which means that if all the independent variables do not change, the
constant value remains 0.9804. The EVA coefficient is 0.1064, which is significant at
the level of 10%, which means that if the EVA value increases 1%, the stock return
has a prospect to rise up 0.1064%. The coefficient of MVA has a value of 0.2952 and
a significance of 1% which can be explained by each increase in MVA of 1%, the SR
increases by 0.2952% as well. The value of stock market liquidity is 0.2587 and
significant 1%. This means each increase in liquidity stock market is as many as 1%,
it inclines SR by 0.2587% too. Therefore, it overall can be concluded that MVA is a
factor that needs to be considered by investors when investing in the IDX.
Furthermore, the SML coefficient value is 0.2687 with a significant probability of
1%, which means an increase in SML raises the value of stock returns
Besides, it can also be explained that the three variables EVA, MVA and SML
affect stock returns simultaneously. This is indicated by the statistical F value of
1.9795 and a significance of 1%. The three variables are able to explain their effects
of 40.82%, reflected in the value of R square (R2) as many as 0.4082 while the
remaining is influenced by other factors.
Based on the table above, it can be explained that the three independent variables
EVA, MVA and SML affect stock returns in manufacturing companies in Indonesia.
MVA is the dominant factor influencing return followed by SML and finally EVA.
This finding indicates that investors welcome the performance of manufacturing
companies because it provides a good return. This finding is in accordance with [18]
who conclude that MVA has a positive effect on stock returns.
From the SML side, it can be explained that manufacturing companies have good
market liquidity so that investors can consider to trade on the manufacturing shares
for period of the study sample. An improved stock market liquidity can provide good
returns. This finding is consistent with [10] who reveal stock market liquidity is
related to stock returns. Finally, EVA can also be considered for investors to buy
trading shares, but it is not so dominant in explaining the relationship with return.
This has been stated [1].
4 Conclussion
This research found all independent variables EVA, MVA and s ML used in this
study affect to stock returns. However, the most dominant factor affecting stock
returns is MVA. The results of this study do not strongly explain the three
independent variables being able to explain stock returns. But there are other factors
that affect stock prices, such as accounting performance and firm value.
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