A Study on the Factors of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Real
Estate Companies and the Mode of Mergers and Acquisitions Based
on the Implementation of Development Policies
Shuhui Zhang
School of Business, East China University of Science and Technology, Shanghai, China
Keywords: Listed Real Estate Companies, M&A Factors, M&A Patterns.
Abstract: With the frequent emergence of M&A activities of real estate listed companies, M&A is increasingly be-
coming an important means for China's real estate industry to optimize resource allocation and regulate in-
dustrial structure, not only for the needs of the real estate industry, but also for the survival and operation of
real estate companies (Liu 2020). This paper summarizes the current situation of M&A of real estate listed
companies in China through a series of data, and on this basis, empirical research is conducted on M&A
performance and some suggestions are made on M&A activities in real estate industry (Jiang, Wei 2018).
1 INTRODUCTION
The history of mergers and acquisitions of real estate
listed companies in China. The mergers and acquisi-
tions of real estate listed companies in China have
developed along with the development of China's real
estate market, and have been developed in the course
of China's reform and opening up and the reform of
the socialist economic system (Hou 2018). From the
reform and opening up to the present, the mergers and
acquisitions of real estate listed companies in China
can be roughly divided into three stages: the primary
starting stage, the transformation and development
stage, and the high-speed development stage (Che
2018).
2 CURRENT STATUS OF M&A IN
CHINA'S REAL ESTATE
INDUSTRY
In recent years, in order to achieve scale expansion
and profit growth, many real estate companies have
started to find new breakthroughs through mergers
and acquisitions (Wu 2017).
Figure 1: 2010-2019 Number of mergers and acquisitions in China's real estate industry and year-on-year growth
[self-drawn].
526
Zhang, S.
A Study on the Factors of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Real Estate Companies and the Mode of Mergers and Acquisitions Based on the Implementation of Development Policies.
DOI: 10.5220/0011751300003607
In Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Public Management, Digital Economy and Internet Technology (ICPDI 2022), pages 526-529
ISBN: 978-989-758-620-0
Copyright
c
2023 by SCITEPRESS Science and Technology Publications, Lda. Under CC license (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
According to Figure 1, we can see that the number
of mergers and acquisitions completed each year in
the real estate industry fluctuates greatly, and the
growth of real estate enterprises is very rapid, but this
also leads to increasing competition in the industry,
coupled with the tightening of government regulation
of the real estate market, making the survival envi-
ronment of real estate enterprises increasingly harsh,
so real estate companies have begun to take the road
of mergers and acquisitions.
3 DIFFERENT M&A MODES OF
REAL ESTATE ENTERPRISES
There are three specific types of M&A models: hor-
izontal M&A, vertical M&A and hybrid M&A (Gu
2017).
4 EMPIRICAL STUDY OF M&A
PERFORMANCE OF REAL
ESTATE FIRMS UNDER
DIFFERENT M&A MODES
The data used in the empirical study are mainly from:
Guotaian Data (CSMAR) Service Center
(http://www.gtarsc.com/), Wind Financial Database,
Shanghai Stock Exchange (http://www.sse.com.cn/),
Shen-zhen Stock Exchange (http://www.szse. cn/)
(Liu 2017).
4.1 Short-Term M&A Performance
Research Sample Description
Between 2007 and 2016, a total of 133 real estate
M&A events that occurred in Shanghai and Shenzhen
A-shares and for which M&A modes could be iden-
tified were screened and processed to obtain a total of
133 M&A events as a sample for the empirical study
of short-term M&A performance (Li 2017), and the
distribution of the sample after classification ac-
cording to three M&A modes is shown in Table 1.
Table 1: Description of the sample for the empirical study
of short-term M&A performance[self-drawn].
M&A Model Sample size
Percentage of
total sam
p
le
Horizontal M&A 92 69.17%
Vertical M&A 15 11.28%
H
y
brid M&A 26 19.55%
Overall sample 133 100%
4.2 Empirical Study of Short-Term
Performance Under Different M&A
Models
Step 1: Define the event date and determine the event
period and estimation period (Zhang 2015).
Step 2: Calculate the actual daily return Rit of the
sample companies and the actual daily return Rmt of
the market index.
The stock price data of the sample companies in
the event period (-100, -21) and the estimation period
(-20,25) are collected, and the actual daily return of
the sample companies in the stock estimation period
and the event period and the corresponding actual
daily return of the market index are calculated, re-
spectively (Li 2015).
The formula for the actual daily returns of indi-
vidual stocks is as follows.
𝑅

=
𝑃
,
−𝑃
,
1
𝑃
,
1
P
i,t
is the closing price of individual stock i on day
t and P
i,t-1
is the closing price of individual stock i on
day t-1.
The formula for the actual daily market return is
as follows (Liu 2020).
𝑅

=
𝑃
,
−𝑃
,
1
𝑃
,
1
It is the closing index of the SSE A-share index or
Shenzhen A-share index on day t, and I
t-1
is the
closing index of the SSE A-share index or Shenzhen
A-share index on day t-1.
Step 3: Calculate the expected normal return
formula for each stock for each day in the event
period (-20,25) as follows.
𝑅

= 𝛼
+ 𝛽
× 𝑅

+ 𝜀

α
i
is the constant term; β
i
is the regression coeffi-
cient; and it is the random error.
The estimates of α
i
and β
i
, i.e., α̂ and β̂, are ob-
tained by regression and brought into the model to
obtain the expected normal rate of return E(R
it
) of
individual stock i for each day in the event period as
follows.
𝑅

= 𝛼
+ 𝛽
× 𝑅

+ 𝜀

Step 4: Calculate the AR
it
and AAR
t
of the sample
during the event period with the following equations,
respectively.
𝐴𝑅

= 𝑅

−𝑅

𝐴𝐴𝑅
=
𝐴𝑅

𝑛
AR
it
is the daily excess return of individual stock i
at time t; AAR
t
is the average of the sum of the excess
returns of each stock at time t, i.e., the average daily
A Study on the Factors of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Real Estate Companies and the Mode of Mergers and Acquisitions Based on
the Implementation of Development Policies
527
excess return of the stocks of the sample companies at
time t; n is the number of samples.
Step 5: Calculate the cumulative average excess
return CAR
t1t2
for the sample during the event period
(-20,25), with the following formula.
4.2.1 Analysis of Empirical Results for the
Overall Sample
The total sample for the M&A performance study is
133 M&A cases of real estate listed companies, and
the overall sample is subjected to a one-sample t-test
at 95% confidence interval for the change in the
average excess return (AAR) and cumulative average
excess return (CAR) for the 46 days of the event
period (-20,25) for the overall sample, as the results
in Table 2 show that the positive effect of M&A
activity in the short term is significant.
4.2.2 Analysis of Empirical Results for
Horizontal M&As
Based on the sample of 92 M&A cases of real estate
listed companies in the horizontal M&A performance
study, its data of AAR and CAR for 46 days in the
event period (-20,25), a one-sample t-test was con-
ducted on the horizontal M&A sample at 95% con-
fidence interval, and the results showed that the
positive effect of horizontal M&A is significant in the
short term. CAR
4.2.3 Analysis of Empirical Results for
Vertical M&A
Based on the sample of vertical M&A performance
study of 15 M&A cases of real estate listed compa-
nies with the number of AAR and CAR for 46 days in
the event period (-20,25), a one-sample t-test is
conducted on the vertical M&A sample at 95% con-
fidence interval and the results show that the positive
effect of vertical M&A is significant in the short
term.
4.2.4 Empirical Analysis of Hybrid M&As
Based on the sample of mixed M&A performance
study of 26 M&A cases of real estate listed compa-
nies, the data of their AAR and CAR for 46 days in
the event period (-20,25), a one-sample t-test was
conducted on the mixed M&A sample at 95% con-
fidence interval, and the results showed that the
positive effect from mixed M&A in the short term is
significant. In terms of statistical significance, the
positive effect of M&A activity in the short term is
significant.
Table 2: Results of the overall sample CAR significance test[self-drawn].
Test value = 0
Test Subjects t Df Sig. (Double Tail) Average value
Difference
Lower Line
Upper 95%
confidence interval
Overall CAR 8.237 45 .000 .00654 .00494 .00814
Table 3: Results of the horizontal sample CAR significance test[self-drawn].
Test value = 0
Test Subjects t Df Sig. (Double Tail) Average value
Difference
Lower Line
Upper 95%
confidence interval
Horizontal M&A
CAR
2.479 45 .017 .00234 .00044 .00425
Table 4: Results of the significance test for Vertical M&A CAR [self-drawn].
Test value = 0
Test Subjects t Df
Sig.
(Double Tail)
Average
value
Difference
Lower Line
Upper 95%
confidence interval
Vertical M&A CAR 10.739 45 .000 .01505 .01223 .01787
Table 5: Results of the significance test for Mixed M&A CAR [self-drawn].
Test value = 0
Test Subjects t Df
Sig.
(Double Tail)
Average
value
Difference
Lower Line
Upper 95%
confidence interval
Mixed M&A CAR 8.235 45 .000 .01819 .01374 .02264
ICPDI 2022 - International Conference on Public Management, Digital Economy and Internet Technology
528
Figure 2: CAR comparison chart for the three M&A models[self-drawn].
4.2.5 Comparative Analysis of Three M&A
Models
As can be seen from Figure 2, the trend of CAR for
the horizontal M&A sample is basically consistent
with that of the overall sample, while vertical and
hybrid M&As differ significantly from the trend of
CAR for horizontal M&As. Overall, CARs for all
three are positive most of the time, indicating that all
three M&A modes have a favorable impact on the
acquirer firm in the short term. The comparison of the
cumulative excess returns of the three M&A models
shows that hybrid M&A brings more short-term
wealth to the shareholders of the company.
5 CONCLUSION
From the above, we can draw the following conclu-
sions: the empirical analysis of the overall sample
shows that M&A activity brings significant positive
effects. And the separate empirical analysis of the
horizontal, vertical and mixed M&A models shows
that all three M&A models bring favorable effects to
the acquiring firm in the short term, but the mixed
M&A brings more short-term wealth.
6 DISCUSSION
This paper analyzes the current situation of M&A of
real estate listed companies in China and introduces
the advantages and disadvantages of three M&A
models. Through empirical analysis it is finally con-
cluded that in the short term, all three modes of M&A
bring significant positive effects to the companies
and mixed M&A brings more short-term wealth to
the companies. A series of problems of real estate
M&A can be found, and based on these problems, the
following suggestions are made: choosing M&A
targets reasonably, ensuring the supply of resources
in the M&A process, and strengthening the
post-M&A integration.
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A Study on the Factors of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Real Estate Companies and the Mode of Mergers and Acquisitions Based on
the Implementation of Development Policies
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