4.3 Analysis of Prediction Results
In this paper, the weights obtained by the principal
component analysis method and the optimal results
of the three base learners are linearly weighted and
fused according to Formula 3. The prediction effect
of the final test set is displayed in Figure 1.
5
0
10
8 9 10 11 12
Estimate
Matrix distribution
20
15
Random forest XGBoost Algorithm
Figure 1: Model test set fitting.
By calculating the evaluation index of the model,
the error results of the linear weighted fusion model
are obtained as indicated in Table 3.
Table 3: Evaluation index of the linear weighted fusion
model based on PCA.
Model MSE MAE RASE MAPE
Random
forest
1.43 1.82 2.63 4.47
XGBoost 2.35 2.14 2.68 6.32
Algorithm 8.25 7.38 7.89 8.46
Compared with other models, the proposed
algorithm performs best. The MSE (RMSE) of the
linear weighted fusion model based on PCA
decreases a little, but the MAPE (MAE) has a
certain degree of improvement, which is the smallest
linear weighted error after fusion. The predicted
value is closer to the actual value in comparison.
5 CONCLUSION
In this paper, the collected education data are
cleaned and integrated, and the key factors affecting
the effect of agricultural talent education are
explored by using the multi-layer linear model. The
weighted model of entropy weight is applied to
evaluate the development level of higher education.
Through the experimental analysis, it is proved that
the algorithm has the advantages of low data
requirements and small amount of calculation, which
is not only suitable for the comparison between
horizontal multi-units, but also suitable for the
vertical time series analysis, and further improves
the stability of the spatio-temporal pattern.
In this paper, the dynamic efficiency analysis is
carried out, and the effect evaluation of agricultural
talent education informatization is studied. However,
the output has a certain lag, and some colleges and
universities may not see the results soon after
investing in a lot of information resources. Thus, it is
biased to judge the governance effectiveness of
colleges and universities by the results of specific
time nodes. In the follow-up study, we should
collect the data over a longer period and establish
the DEA-Malmquist index method to measure the
dynamic efficiency of time series data.
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