case) and 𝐶𝑜𝑣
(2.84% on average and 4.43% in
the worst case) were small. Moreover, in 14 of 16
instances, two SAA replications are needed to reach
the small-enough 𝐺𝑎𝑝
and 𝐶𝑜𝑣
, indicating that
the sample size is chosen adequately. Furthermore,
the column “Time” demonstrated that the SAA
framework was able to solve the CSAHLRPSD in
acceptable calculational times, and all instances were
solved in less than 1500s. These computational times
are acceptable as long-term decisions need to be
determined only once for each network. Furthermore,
for each service cycle, the short-term decisions can be
determined in a very short time. Finally, one can find
that considering stochastic factors can effectively cut
down the cost: the average 𝐺𝑎𝑝
is 9.43%, while the
best 𝐺𝑎𝑝
is 17.95%.
6 CONCLUSIONS
In this paper, we concentrated on the CSAHLRPSD
problem. The aim of the problem is to design an intra-
city express system in a practical environment.
Therefore, capacitated hubs and vehicles were
employed, and the flows were assumed to be
stochastic. The problem was formulated as a multi-
stage recourse model, and an SAA framework was
introduced to solve the problem. In the framework,
two variants of the ALNS algorithm were used to
solve the SAA problem and to calculate the recourse
cost. The proposed method was evaluated on the
benchmark instances, proving that the SAA
framework can solve the CSAHLRPSD in acceptable
computational times and that considering stochastic
factors can effectively decrease the operation cost (by
9.43% on average). Future studies include proposing
more efficient algorithms to calculate the recourse
cost and to apply the framework to more instances.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This work was supported by Japan Society for the
Promotion of Science (JSPS), Kakenhi (Grants-in-
Aid for ScientificResearch - C) [20K04739] and the
National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant
No. 72301052).
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