Finally, the use of birth control postpartum is
associated with a lower likelihood of PPD. Mothers
not using birth control postpartum are more likely to
experience depression, with 16.27% reporting PPD
(p-value = 0.0009). In contrast, those who use birth
control have a lower rate of depression, with only
13.25% affected (p-value = 0.0007).
7 CONCLUSIONS
PPD is an issue that should have more attention in the
U.S. Now that we know the effects that it has on a
mother and child's life, this is why this research has
the goal to help predict this health issue so decision-
makers can make more informed decisions and be
prepared.
This research has demonstrated that the use of
machine learning techniques can be highly effective
in predicting the risk of postpartum depression (PPD)
in new mothers. Through the analysis of an extensive
and diverse dataset provided by PRAMS, significant
variables influencing the likelihood of developing
PPD were identified, including demographic, health-
related, and pregnancy and postpartum factors.
Our results indicate that the Random Forest model
achieved the highest accuracy and precision at 96%
and 99%, respectively, utilizing a comprehensive set
of 42 variables. Between the two models tested, there
is no significant difference in accuracy and precision;
the difference is less than 0.3%. However, selecting
15 variables will make it easier for practitioners to
track them, and it won’t mean a risk.
Implementing machine learning models to predict
PPD risk can significantly impact the improvement of
maternal health by enabling early and personalized
preventive interventions. This approach can
contribute to reducing the economic and social
burden associated with PPD, enhancing the quality of
life for mothers and their families. Future research
could focus on integrating these models into
healthcare systems to maximize their applicability
and effectiveness.
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