trading costs and vast resources, making it unviable or
unfavourable for most asset managers, who will prefer
to build their own portfolios using IBs ARP products.
Yet, not all banks offer the same risk premia and, for
the same strategy, each has its own “cooking recipe”.
Naya and Tuchschmid (2019) found a high degree of
heterogeneity among the indices from different provi-
ders that supposedly capture the same risk premium.
Kuenzi (2020) identified 8 sources of return dispersion
that can explain this phenomenon. On the other side,
Scherer (2020) noted that some ARP strategies suffer
from a “contagion” effect: different ARP strategies that
are uncorrelated during normal times can become
highly positively correlated during market drawdowns,
losing the benefits from portfolio diversification.
Finally, many of those ARP, whose risk premium is
backed by extensive research and backtested
performance, appear to underperform once they
become live and available to investors. Both Suhonen
et al. (2017) and Naya and Tuchschmid (2019)
quantified the backtesting bias in ARP and proposed
performance haircuts of at least 75% as a rule of thumb,
unveiling the risks of working with backtested data.
With all these complexities, asset managers must
build and manage the ARP portfolios. Typically, they
will limit their exposures to asset classes or strategies,
in order to ensure diversification, and select and
allocate to the strategies and indices based on some
quantitative or qualitative (or a combination of both)
process.
In this article, we propose and test the cluster-
momentum (CMOM) portfolio, a purely quantitative
method. With the prior believe that ARP strategies
show some degree of performance persistence, we
test whether a diversified portfolio that chases past
winners can outperform a set of benchmarks.
Diversification is achieved by using unsupervised
hierarchical clustering at each rebalancing period.
After a brief literature review in Section 2 and a
presentation of the ARP dataset in Section 3, in
Section 4 we introduce the portfolio construction
process and the backtesting methodology. Then, in
Section 5 we present the results of these backtests and
compare the performance of our CMOM portfolio
with a set of internally built benchmarks and of
existing ARP asset manager funds. Section 6
concludes by discussing the main findings and
provides direction for further research.
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
The rise of ARP IB products and asset manager funds
over the last 15 years has allowed professional
investors and researchers to study more in depth the
ARP industry, its realized performance and risk, its
impact into traditional portfolios, as well as its own
specificities and complexities, some of them already
mentioned in the Introduction section.
Jorion (2021) analysed the performance of ARP
IB products for the 2010-2020 decade and found
positive returns within equities, rates and credit but
not FX strategies. Commodities ARP showed mixed
results. He also observed that these fully investible IB
products explain better the performance of hedge
funds than the classic 7-factor model from Fung and
Hsieh (2004). Monarcha (2019) focused on ARP
asset manager funds and identified a negative average
funds’ return and a negative alpha for 75% of the
sample, which was on average -2% annualized. The
same author in Monarcha (2020) investigated the
performances of ARP strategies during the Covid-19
equity drawdown in February-March 2020 and found
a limited impact in most strategies, which was most
severe for short volatility and mean reversion
strategies, especially in the equities asset class.
Gorman and Fabozzi (2022) revealed that the
disappointing returns of ARP for the period 2018-
2020 is in line with long-term expectations. Naya,
Rrustemi and Tuchschmid (2023a) studied both ARP
IB products and asset manager funds during the 2015-
2020/05 period and concluded that well-diversified
portfolios of ARP as well as most funds provided very
low or even negative returns to investors and failed to
bring the desired benefits from diversification during
equity market drawdowns. However, some non-
equity strategies showed risk-return profiles that
could help mitigate the losses of a balanced portfolio
during equity risk events. Suhonen and Lennkh
(2021) examined the realised performance of ARP
strategies over the 2008-2020/05 period. They found
mixed results and concluded that including non-
equity strategies to a 60/40 equity-bond portfolio
would have added value, but the opposite is true for
equity ARP. A similar result was found by Naya,
Rrustemi and Tuchschmid (2023b). They compared
the incorporation of a set of ARP strategies and
portfolios with competing alternative assets and
concluded that a systematic allocation to ARP with
no equity exposure or correlated to equity risk could
improve the return-risk relationship of a traditional
balanced 60/40 portfolio. More recently, Suhonen
and Vatanen (2023) propose trend strategies and the
commodity cluster as the best candidates to achieve
diversification in the balanced portfolio. For a
comprehensive introduction to ARP, we refer to
Hamdan et al. (2016), Gorman and Fabozzi (2021a)
and Gorman and Fabozzi (2021b).