4 CONCLUSIONS
The commonly suggested thesis in research work and
in traffic engineering practice that the more flexible
the control, the less reliable the forecast and thus the
functionality of GLOSA could be refuted in this
research. The efforts of the last 30 years to implement
the most flexible control possible, which adaptively
takes into account the needs of all road users,
apparently contradict the requirement for a stable
forecast for the GLOSA service. In this article, a tool
chain was presented that shows indicators that at least
partially refute this thesis. The tool enables the
analysis of historical data from existing systems to
derive an indicator of the quality and suitability of the
C-ITS GLOSA application.
Based on the presented and differentiated
systems, it is clear that there are defined indicators
that can provide information about the stability of the
forecast both in the planning process and in the
operation of the system. The prediction is then easily
possible for most signal groups despite adaptive
control over the intermediate times. This leads to very
good results within the overall forecast, especially
when superimposing a long-term forecast from
historical data with a short-term forecast using
sequence, cycle time, green time and intermediate
time matrices.
It should be said here that the toolchain mentioned
is evaluated by traffic lights of only one city. The
systems correspond to the typical planning principles
in Germany and Europe. In most cases, rule-based
logic is stored, which has a fixed circulation time.
Furthermore, the traffic light programs are phase-
related controlled, where fixed phase transitions,
minimum and maximum release times and other
boundary conditions such as coordination - so-called
green waves - exist. Obviously, these boundary
conditions do not apply worldwide, but they are easily
applicable throughout Europe.
Finally, it should be noted that the detector inputs
are of course also of crucial importance, especially for
short-term forecasts. This influence has currently
only been taken into account indirectly. The aim of
further investigations will be to determine
correlations between the detector inputs and the
corresponding signal groups. The prioritization in
particular, the registration for the prioritization of
public transport, is often done very early and can
therefore be easily taken into account in the forecast.
This influence will be taken into account in further
analysis and research.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We would like to thank Julia Erdmann for her
visualizations of the traffic lights data. We also thank
Per-Arno Plötz and Henning David (City of
Hamburg) for valuable input interpreting the traffic
lights data set.
This study was financially supported by the
European Union.
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