Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level

Bożena Mielczarek

2013

Abstract

This paper describes a discrete-event simulation model to estimate the volume of services to be provided by emergency departments located in one sub-region of Lower Silesia, the southernmost province in Poland. Forecasts of the predicted categories of services to be delivered in the following year in emergency departments in the region are formulated based on the simulated demand level. The process of input data analysis is described in detail, and basic assumptions for the simulation model are formulated. The results provide some insights into the relation between sub-regional demographic trends and population needs in relation to hospital emergency arrivals.

References

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Paper Citation


in Harvard Style

Mielczarek B. (2013). Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level . In Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH, ISBN 978-989-8565-69-3, pages 197-203. DOI: 10.5220/0004583601970203


in Bibtex Style

@conference{simultech13,
author={Bożena Mielczarek},
title={Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH,},
year={2013},
pages={197-203},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0004583601970203},
isbn={978-989-8565-69-3},
}


in EndNote Style

TY - CONF
JO - Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH,
TI - Using Discrete-Event Simulation to Forecast the Volume of Hospital Emergency Services to be delivered at the Regional Level
SN - 978-989-8565-69-3
AU - Mielczarek B.
PY - 2013
SP - 197
EP - 203
DO - 10.5220/0004583601970203