Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China

Rongfang Lyu, Jianming Zhang, Mengqun Xu, Jijun Li

2018

Abstract

Spatial heterogeneity of urban expansion and macro-scale influence of socioeconomic development are the two main problems in urban-expansion modelling. In this study, we used the SLEUTH-3r model to simulate urban expansion at a fine scale (30 m) for a large urban agglomeration (22000 km2) in north-western China. Multiple spatial constraint factors were integrated into the model through Ordinary Least Regression and Binary Logistic Regression to simulate the spatial heterogeneity in urban expansion. A critical parameter—the diffusion multiplier (DM)—was used to simulate the macro-scale influence of socioeconomic development in the urban model. These two methods have greatly enhanced the ability of the SLEUTH-3r model to simulate urban expansion with high heterogeneity, and adapt to urban growth driven by socioeconomic development and government policy.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Lyu R., Zhang J., Xu M. and Li J. (2018). Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China.In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Geographical Information Systems Theory, Applications and Management - Volume 1: GISTAM, ISBN 978-989-758-294-3, pages 159-166. DOI: 10.5220/0006627201590166

in Bibtex Style

@conference{gistam18,
author={Rongfang Lyu and Jianming Zhang and Mengqun Xu and Jijun Li},
title={Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Geographical Information Systems Theory, Applications and Management - Volume 1: GISTAM,},
year={2018},
pages={159-166},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0006627201590166},
isbn={978-989-758-294-3},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Geographical Information Systems Theory, Applications and Management - Volume 1: GISTAM,
TI - Improving Urban Simulation Accuracy through Analysis of Control Factors: A Case Study in the City Belt along the Yellow River in Ningxia, China
SN - 978-989-758-294-3
AU - Lyu R.
AU - Zhang J.
AU - Xu M.
AU - Li J.
PY - 2018
SP - 159
EP - 166
DO - 10.5220/0006627201590166