Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia

Yudhi Wibowo, Nendyah Roestijawati, Atik C. Hidajah, Agoes Y. Purnomo, Tutiek Herlina

2020

Abstract

Covid-19 has been rapidly spreading to various regions in Indonesia including to Magetan District which has the 3rd highest cases (0.91%) in East Java Province. This study was aimed to determine the characteristics, effective reproduction number (Rt) and spatial modelling of Covid-19 spread in the Magetan District. This was a cross-sectional study which included 43 patients with confirmed Covid-19. Univariate analysis was used to describe the characteristics of Covid-19. Epiestim was used to calculate Rt while the spread of Covid-19 cases was spatially modelled using Crimestat. On June 28, 2020, Magetan had 96 suspected cases, 104 confirmed cases with 75 cases were recovered and 4 people died. Most of the confirmed cases were at the age group of 40-49 years (22.6%), male (54%), and symptomatic (91.5%). Fever was the most commonly found symptom (81.7%). The Rt for the period March 10, 2020-June 28, 2020 was 1.27 (0.85-1.82; 95% CrI). Spatial analysis showed that the distribution of confirmed cases was widespread in 15 sub-districts. The Covid-19 outbreak was still out of control and still ongoing in Magetan. Therefore, a strong implementation of health protocol is recommended.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Wibowo Y., Roestijawati N., Hidajah A., Purnomo A. and Herlina T. (2020). Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia.In Proceedings of the 1st Jenderal Soedirman International Medical Conference in conjunction with the 5th Annual Scientific Meeting (Temilnas) Consortium of Biomedical Science Indonesia - Volume 1: JIMC, ISBN 978-989-758-499-2, pages 21-27. DOI: 10.5220/0010487100210027

in Bibtex Style

@conference{jimc20,
author={Yudhi Wibowo and Nendyah Roestijawati and Atik C. Hidajah and Agoes Y. Purnomo and Tutiek Herlina},
title={Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 1st Jenderal Soedirman International Medical Conference in conjunction with the 5th Annual Scientific Meeting (Temilnas) Consortium of Biomedical Science Indonesia - Volume 1: JIMC,},
year={2020},
pages={21-27},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0010487100210027},
isbn={978-989-758-499-2},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 1st Jenderal Soedirman International Medical Conference in conjunction with the 5th Annual Scientific Meeting (Temilnas) Consortium of Biomedical Science Indonesia - Volume 1: JIMC,
TI - Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia
SN - 978-989-758-499-2
AU - Wibowo Y.
AU - Roestijawati N.
AU - Hidajah A.
AU - Purnomo A.
AU - Herlina T.
PY - 2020
SP - 21
EP - 27
DO - 10.5220/0010487100210027