Which Is More Helpful in Finding Scientific Papers to Be Top-cited in the Future: Content or Citations? Case Analysis in the Field of Solar Cells 2009

Masanao Ochi, Masanori Shiro, Jun’ichiro Mori, Ichiro Sakata

2021

Abstract

With the increasing digital publication of scientific literature and the fragmentation of research, it is becoming more and more difficult to find promising papers. Of course, we can examine the contents of a large number of papers, but it is easier to look at the references cited. Therefore, we want to know whether a paper is promising or not based only on its content and citation information. This paper proposes a method of extracting and clustering the content and citations of papers as distributed representations and comparing them using the same criteria. This method clarifies whether the future promising papers will be biased toward content or citations. We evaluated the proposed method by comparing the distribution of the papers that would become the top-cited papers three years later among the papers published in 2009. As a result, we found that the citation information is 39.9% easier to identify the papers that will be the top-cited papers in the future than the content information. This analysis will provide a basis for developing more general models for early prediction of the impact of various scientific researches and trends in science and technology.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Ochi M., Shiro M., Mori J. and Sakata I. (2021). Which Is More Helpful in Finding Scientific Papers to Be Top-cited in the Future: Content or Citations? Case Analysis in the Field of Solar Cells 2009. In Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Web Information Systems and Technologies - Volume 1: WEBIST, ISBN 978-989-758-536-4, pages 360-364. DOI: 10.5220/0010689100003058

in Bibtex Style

@conference{webist21,
author={Masanao Ochi and Masanori Shiro and Jun’ichiro Mori and Ichiro Sakata},
title={Which Is More Helpful in Finding Scientific Papers to Be Top-cited in the Future: Content or Citations? Case Analysis in the Field of Solar Cells 2009},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Web Information Systems and Technologies - Volume 1: WEBIST,},
year={2021},
pages={360-364},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0010689100003058},
isbn={978-989-758-536-4},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Web Information Systems and Technologies - Volume 1: WEBIST,
TI - Which Is More Helpful in Finding Scientific Papers to Be Top-cited in the Future: Content or Citations? Case Analysis in the Field of Solar Cells 2009
SN - 978-989-758-536-4
AU - Ochi M.
AU - Shiro M.
AU - Mori J.
AU - Sakata I.
PY - 2021
SP - 360
EP - 364
DO - 10.5220/0010689100003058