Application of Fuzzy Time Series Average-Based Algorithm in Forecasting the Human Development Index (HDI)

Rahmawati, Hamdan Samputra, Fitriani Muttakin, Rahmadeni, Sri Basriati, Rara Winanda

2023

Abstract

The Human Development Index (HDI) is calculated based on a combined index of education level, life expectancy, and income. If the HDI value gets higher, this will affect the standard of living in the related area, which can reduce the number of unemployed. Therefore, each region must make forecasts based on Human Development Index (HDI) data. This study uses the Average-Based Fuzzy Time Series Algorithm to predict HDI values in Riau Province, where there are 8 districts or cities in Riau Province that have experienced a decline in HDI rates after forecasting. This means that the Riau Provincial government needs to create a prevention strategy to reduce HDI rates. The accuracy of the forecasting method in this study was seen through the MAPE value of 4.86%; based on the MAPE criteria, this is considered very good with an accuracy of 95.14%.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Rahmawati., Samputra H., Muttakin F., Rahmadeni., Basriati S. and Winanda R. (2023). Application of Fuzzy Time Series Average-Based Algorithm in Forecasting the Human Development Index (HDI). In Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Advanced Information Scientific Development - Volume 1: ICAISD; ISBN 978-989-758-678-1, SciTePress, pages 269-274. DOI: 10.5220/0012448000003848

in Bibtex Style

@conference{icaisd23,
author={Rahmawati and Hamdan Samputra and Fitriani Muttakin and Rahmadeni and Sri Basriati and Rara Winanda},
title={Application of Fuzzy Time Series Average-Based Algorithm in Forecasting the Human Development Index (HDI)},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Advanced Information Scientific Development - Volume 1: ICAISD},
year={2023},
pages={269-274},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0012448000003848},
isbn={978-989-758-678-1},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Advanced Information Scientific Development - Volume 1: ICAISD
TI - Application of Fuzzy Time Series Average-Based Algorithm in Forecasting the Human Development Index (HDI)
SN - 978-989-758-678-1
AU - Rahmawati.
AU - Samputra H.
AU - Muttakin F.
AU - Rahmadeni.
AU - Basriati S.
AU - Winanda R.
PY - 2023
SP - 269
EP - 274
DO - 10.5220/0012448000003848
PB - SciTePress